Estimation in autoregressive model with measurement error

Abstract

Consider an autoregressive model with measurement error: we observe $Z_i=X_i+ε_i$, where $X_i$ is a stationary solution of the equation $X_i=f_{θ^0}(X_{i-1})+ξ_i$. The regression function $f_{θ^0}$ is known up to a finite dimensional parameter $θ^0$. The distributions of $X_0$ and $ξ_1$ are unknown whereas the distribution of $ε_1$ is completely known. We want to estimate the parameter $θ^0$ by using the observations $Z_0,..,Z_n$. We propose an estimation procedure based on a modified least square criterion involving a weight function $w$, to be suitably chosen. We give upper bounds for the risk of the estimator, which depend on the smoothness of the errors density $f_ε$ and on the smoothness properties of $w f_θ$.