Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 1408.6807

Observational Constraints on the Catastrophic Disruption Rate of Small Main Belt Asteroids

Larry Denneau·Robert Jedicke·Alan Fitzsimmons·Henry Hsieh·Jan Kleyna·Mikael Granvik·Marco Micheli·T. Spahr·Peter Vereš·Richard Wainscoat·W. S. Burgett·K. C. Chambers·P. W. Draper·H. Flewelling·M. E. Huber·N. Kaiser·J. S. Morgan·J. L. Tonry
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

We have calculated 90% confidence limits on the steady-state rate of catastrophic disruptions of main belt asteroids in terms of the absolute magnitude at which one catastrophic disruption occurs per year (HCL) as a function of the post-disruption increase in brightness (delta m) and subsequent brightness decay rate (tau). The confidence limits were calculated using the brightest unknown main belt asteroid (V = 18.5) detected with the Pan-STARRS1 (Pan-STARRS1) telescope. We measured the Pan-STARRS1's catastrophic disruption detection efficiency over a 453-day interval using the Pan-STARRS moving object processing system (MOPS) and a simple model for the catastrophic disruption event's photometric behavior in a small aperture centered on the catastrophic disruption event. Our simplistic catastrophic disruption model suggests that delta m = 20 mag and 0.01 mag d-1 < tau < 0.1 mag d-1 which would imply that H0 = 28 -- strongly inconsistent with H0,B2005 = 23.26 +/- 0.02 predicted by Bottke et al. (2005) using purely collisional models. We postulate that the solution to the discrepancy is that > 99% of main belt catastrophic disruptions in the size range to which this study was sensitive (100 m) are not impact-generated, but are instead due to fainter rotational breakups, of which the recent discoveries of disrupted asteroids P/2013 P5 and P/2013 R3 are probable examples. We estimate that current and upcoming asteroid surveys may discover up to 10 catastrophic disruptions/year brighter than V = 18.5.

Explore related subjects

astro-ph.EP

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Larry Denneau, Robert Jedicke, Alan Fitzsimmons, Henry Hsieh, Jan Kleyna, Mikael Granvik, Marco Micheli, T. Spahr, Peter Vereš, Richard Wainscoat, W. S. Burgett, K. C. Chambers, P. W. Draper, H. Flewelling, M. E. Huber, N. Kaiser, J. S. Morgan, J. L. Tonry. 2014-08-29. Observational Constraints on the Catastrophic Disruption Rate of Small Main Belt Asteroids. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.icarus.2014.08.044

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Strict Limits on Helium Absorption from LHS 1140 b from Four JWST NIRISS Transits

Orbiting in the habitable zone of its host star, the 1.7 $R_\oplus$, 5.6 $M_\oplus$ planet LHS 1140 b is a target of great interest. Recently Cherubim et al. (2026) published a detection of metastable He escaping from the atmosphere of LHS 1140 b, simultaneously providing the first concrete inference of an atmosphere on this planet and indicating that the atmosphere is He-rich and H-poor as would be expected due to Gyrs of fractionated mass loss. In this work, we analyze four archival transits of LHS 1140 b, spanning Dec 2023 to Jul 2026, taken with the NIRISS instrument on JWST, for evidence of He absorption. Each of the four visits disfavours the presence of He absorption compared to a flat continuum with odds ratios ranging from 3.9--11.6:1. He absorption with an amplitude and width equivalent to that observed by Cherubim et al. (2026) is strongly ruled out by the data with odds ratios from 300--8.6$\times$10$^4$:1 compared to a flat continuum --- though it should be noted that none of the JWST transits are contemporaneous with the Cherubim et al. (2026) detection. We also fit the absolute out-of-transit stellar spectra from these four visits, as well as an additional JWST NIRISS transit of planet c, to search for evidence of stellar variability, but find consistent photosphere and herterogeneity parameters in all five datasets. In all, our work provides a set of strict limits on He escape from LHS 1140 b that will be valuable to future studies into the nature and evolution of this intriguing world.

astro-ph.EP↗
arXiv2026

Bridging magnetothermal winds and photoevaporation to model discs dispersal

Protoplanetary disc dispersal is driven by two processes usually modelled separately: photoevaporative and magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) disc winds. Global simulations indicate that in the inner disc these are not distinct outflows but a single magnetothermal wind. We assemble a closed-form, two-phase model that respects it. A single-field-line wind, whose base is fixed by the irradiated temperature and penetration column, supplies the launch and feeds a secular evolution, with photoevaporation convolved on as a sink. The flux closure $B_z\proptoΣ^q$ is self-limiting: for $q\le1/2$ depletion alone cannot demagnetise the disc, so dispersal requires independent flux loss, parameterised by the magnetic Reynolds number $\mathcal{R}_m$. Integrating the coupled system yields two regimes. Efficient flux loss ($\mathcal{R}_m\lesssim1$) lets the magnetisation front recede by over an order of magnitude and opens a photoevaporative gap. Flux retention ($\mathcal{R}_m\gg1$) drives the front outward, sustains accretion, and defers dispersal by $\approx2.7$~Myr. Deriving the base from stellar irradiation instead of prescribing it, we find that the cold-launch approximation is valid during the early stages of disc evolution: anchoring the base at plasma equipartition ($β_{\rm base} \sim 1$) confines irradiation's influence on the magnetic lever arm to the magnetothermal annulus, decoupling the peak accretion rate from the incident flux. Both regimes clear the disc inside-out, through either a photoevaporatively amplified cavity wall or an expanding magnetothermal front.

astro-ph.EP↗
arXiv2026

Faithful Neural Embeddings for 3D Exoplanet Climate Modeling

With the rapid advancement of telescopes like JWST and Ariel, there is an urgent need for efficient 3D climate models to interpret observations of exoplanet atmospheres. Traditional 3D general circulation models (GCMs) are computationally intensive, prompting the development of machine learning (ML) emulators to accelerate simulations. Recent work, such as that by Plaschzug et al. 2026 \cite{plaschzug2026accelerating}, uses a dense neural network (DNN) to predict local gas temperatures and winds from input parameters, including local gas pressure, spatial coordinates (longitude and latitude), and global temperature. However, this model relies on predicting individual temperature values (points) at specific grid points, which can be limited by the resolution and constraints of the training grid. In this work, we investigate a couple of alternative frameworks based on latent-space representations of local gas temperature ($\text{T}_{\text{gas}}$) to obtain a faithful, low-dimensional representation of these profiles. This represents the first step toward developing a latent space regression model, offering a structurally cohesive alternative to the existing point-wise prediction method \cite{plaschzug2026accelerating}. By capturing the optimal embedding space of atmospheric data, our proposed framework can produce simulated profiles while maintaining computational efficiency, making it suitable for large-scale exoplanet ensemble studies.

astro-ph.EP↗