arXiv2026
We study blow-up dynamics for the $L^2$-critical cubic Zakharov--Kuznetsov equation in two dimensions, \[ \partial_tu+\partial_{x_1}(Δu+u^3)=0 \qquad\text{on }\mathbb R^2. \] For a class of localized $H^1$ perturbations of the ground state $Q$, we establish a trichotomy near the soliton manifold: exit from a small $L^2$-tube, global asymptotic stability, or finite-time blow-up. In the stable blow-up regime, the solution concentrates a single bubble and \[ λ(t)\sim \ell_0(T-t)^{1/(3-c)}, \] where $\ell_0>0$ depends on the initial datum and $c\in(1,2)$ is an explicit constant determined by the transverse tail of the first-order approximate profile. Consequently, \[ \|\nabla u(t)\|_{L^2} \sim \frac{\|\nabla Q\|_{L^2}} {\ell_0(T-t)^{1/(3-c)}}. \] After subtraction of the concentrating soliton, the radiation converges strongly in $L^p(\mathbb R^2)$ for every $2\leq p<\infty$ to a common nonzero profile $u^*$, while \[ u^*\notin H^s(\mathbb R^2) \qquad\text{for every }s\geq\frac c2. \] The stable blow-up branch is open in the relative $H^1$ topology of the localized class. Finally, every non-soliton datum in this class with non-positive energy blows up in finite time. Interval-arithmetic computer-assisted proofs certify the numerical inputs to the virial coercivity argument. They also yield a rigorous enclosure of $c$, justifying the polynomial moment of order $21$ imposed on the initial data.