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arXiv · 1504.07343

An analysis of the vectorial capacity using moment-generating functions

Daniel A. M. Villela
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Abstract

This paper describes a technique for analyzing the stochastic structure of the vectorial capacity using moment--generating functions. In such formulation, for an infectious disease transmitted by a vector, we obtain the generating function for the distribution of the number of infectious contacts (e.g., infectious bites from mosquitoes) between vectors and humans after a contact to a single infected individual. This approach permits us to generally derive the moments of the distribution and, under some conditions, derive the distribution function of the vectorial capacity. A stochastic modeling framework is helpful for analyzing the dynamics of disease spreading, such as performing sensitivity analysis.

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Daniel A. M. Villela. 2015-04-28. An analysis of the vectorial capacity using moment-generating functions. https://arxiv.org/abs/1504.07343

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