Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 1512.07326

Classification of Asymptotic Behavior in A Stochastic SIR Model

N. T. Dieu·D. H. Nguyen·N. H. Du·G. Yin
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

This paper investigates asymptotic behavior of a stochastic SIR epidemic model, which is a system with degenerate diffusion. It gives sufficient conditions that are very close to the necessary conditions for the permanence. In addition, this paper develops ergodicity of the underlying system. It is proved that the transition probabilities converge in total variation norm to the invariant measure. Our result gives a precise characterization of the support of the invariant measure. Rates of convergence are also ascertained. It is shown that the rate is not too far from exponential in that the convergence speed is of the form of a polynomial of any degree.

Explore related subjects

math.PRmath.DS

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

N. T. Dieu, D. H. Nguyen, N. H. Du, G. Yin. 2015-12-23. Classification of Asymptotic Behavior in A Stochastic SIR Model. https://arxiv.org/abs/1512.07326

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Local well-posedness of general mean field game master equations

This paper presents a generic approach for establishing mean field game master equations, applicable whenever the mean field equilibrium can be characterized by a McKean-Vlasov forward-backward stochastic differential equation system. The core of our approach is a representation formula for the first-order Lions derivative of the decoupling field of this forward-backward SDE system. We then employ a bootstrap argument to recursively compute its higher-order derivatives. To demonstrate the method's versatility, we establish the local well-posedness for master equations in three distinct models: extended mean field games, mean field games with volatility control, and mean field games with a major player.

math.PR↗
arXiv2026

Uniqueness for nonlinear Fokker-Planck equations with general diffusion terms and their associated nonlinear Markov processes

This work is concerned with the uniqueness of distributional solutions to nonlinear Fokker-Planck equations with non-diagonal diffusion terms of type \begin{equation} u_{t}-\sum_{i,j=1}^{d} D^{2}_{ij}(a_{ij}(x)β(x,u))+ \text{div}(b(x,u)u)=0 \quad \text{in}\; (0, \infty) \times \mathbb{R}^{d} ,\notag \end{equation} with initial condition $u(0,x)\equiv u_{0}(x)$, where $a_{ij}$, $β$, and $b$ are suitable functions. Under suitable assumptions, this equation generates a continuous contraction semigroup $S(t): L^{1}(\mathbb{R}^{d}) \rightarrow L^{1}(\mathbb{R}^{d})$, and $u(t)=S(t)u_{0}$ is a mild solution to the equation. Our main contribution is to prove that this mild solution is unique in the much larger class of distributional solutions. This extends previous uniqueness results for the diagonal (also called isotropic) diffusion case $a_{ij} \equiv δ_{ij}$. Another key analytical result of this paper is the uniqueness for distributional solutions of the associated linearized equation. As a main application, we prove weak uniqueness for the corresponding McKean-Vlasov SDEs. Moreover, we prove that, the probabilistically weak solution to the McKean-Vlasov SDEs is also the unique probabilistically strong solution. Furthermore, we establish a new $L^{\infty}$ estimate for mild solutions starting from data in $L^{1}\cap L^{\infty}$ and this estimate is used in the construction of nonlinear Markov processes. Finally, we prove that the path laws of the solutions to the McKean-Vlasov SDEs form a nonlinear Markov process in the sense of McKean.

math.PR↗
arXiv2026

Small-time annealed large deviations principle for one-dimensional diffusions in a random environment

In this paper, we establish a small-time annealed path large deviation principle for one-dimensional diffusions in a random environment associated with the generator ${\mathcal L}_W f(x)=e^{-ρ(x,W)}(e^{a(x,W)}f'(x))'$. The coefficients $\{ρ(x,\cdot):x\in\mathbb R\}$ and $\{a(x,\cdot):x\in\mathbb R\}$ are random. We assume that for each fixed realization of the environment, $ρ$ and $a$ are continuous and locally exponentially integrable, and that the support of the associated intrinsic coordinates is compact and non-collapsing. This framework includes the extensively studied Brox diffusion $dX_t=dB_t-\frac12\dot W(X_t)\,dt$, where $B$ is a standard Brownian motion and $W$ is an independent two-sided Brownian motion representing the environment. The Itô--McKean representation of the diffusions and the estimates of the first exit probabilities derived via Moser iteration play a crucial role.

math.PR↗