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arXiv · 1908.05523

Self-Exciting Multifractional Processes

Fabian A. Harang·Marc Lagunas-Merino·Salvador Ortiz-Latorre
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Abstract

We propose a new multifractional stochastic process which allows for self-exciting behavior, similar to what can be seen for example in earthquakes and other self-organizing phenomena. The process can be seen as an extension of a multifractional Brownian motion, where the Hurst function is dependent on the past of the process. We define this through a stochastic Volterra equation, and we prove existence and uniqueness of this equation, as well as give bounds on the p-order moments, for all p>=1. We show convergence of an Euler-Maruyama scheme for the process, and also give the rate of convergence, which is depending on the self-exciting dynamics of the process. Moreover, we discuss different applications of this process, and give examples of different functions to model self-exciting behavior.

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Fabian A. Harang, Marc Lagunas-Merino, Salvador Ortiz-Latorre. 2019-08-15. Self-Exciting Multifractional Processes. https://arxiv.org/abs/1908.05523

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