Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2002.09426

Whittle estimation for stationary state space models with finite second moments

Abstract

In this paper, we consider the Whittle estimator for the parameters of a stationary solution of a continuous-time linear state space model sampled at low frequencies. In our context the driving process is a Lévy process which allows flexible margins of the underlying model. The Lévy process is supposed to have finite second moments. It is well known that then the class of stationary solutions of linear state space models and the class of multivariate CARMA processes coincides. We prove that the Whittle estimator, which is based on the periodogram, is strongly consistent and asymptotically normally distributed. A comparison with the classical setting of discrete-time ARMA models shows that in the continuous-time setting the limit covariance matrix of the Whittle estimator has an additional correction term for non-Gaussian models. For the proof, we investigate as well the asymptotic normality of the integrated periodogram which is interesting for its own. It can be used to construct goodness of fit tests. Furthermore, for univariate state space processes, which are CARMA processes, we introduce an adjusted version of the Whittle estimator and derive as well the asymptotic properties of this estimator. The practical applicability of our estimators is demonstrated through a simulation study.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Vicky Fasen-Hartmann, Celeste Mayer. 2020-02-21. Whittle estimation for stationary state space models with finite second moments. https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.09426

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Sample complexity and weak limits of nonsmooth multimarginal Schrödinger system with application to optimal transport barycenter

Multimarginal optimal transport (MOT) has emerged as a useful framework for many applied problems. However, compared to the well-studied classical two-marginal optimal transport theory, analysis of MOT is far more challenging and remains much less developed. In this paper, we study the statistical estimation and inference problems for the entropic MOT (EMOT), whose optimal solution is characterized by the multimarginal Schrödinger system. Assuming only boundedness of the cost function, we derive sharp sample complexity for estimating several key quantities pertaining to EMOT (cost functional and Schrödinger coupling) from point clouds that are randomly sampled from the input marginal distributions. Moreover, with substantially weaker smoothness assumption on the cost function than the existing literature, we derive distributional limits and bootstrap validity of various key EMOT objects. As an application, we propose the multimarginal Schrödinger barycenter as a new and natural way to regularize the exact Wasserstein barycenter and demonstrate its statistical optimality.

math.ST

Nonparametric spectral density estimation using interactive mechanisms under local differential privacy

We study the problem of estimating the spectral density of a centered stationary Gaussian time series under local differential privacy constraints. Specifically, we propose new interactive privacy mechanisms for three tasks: recovering a single covariance coefficient, recovering the spectral density at a fixed frequency, and global recovery. Our approach achieves faster rates through a two-stage process: we first apply the Laplace mechanism to the truncated value, and then use the resulting privatized sample to learn about the dependence mechanism in the time series. For spectral densities belonging to Hölder and Sobolev smoothness classes, we demonstrate that our algorithms improve upon the non-interactive mechanism of Kroll (2024) for small privacy parameter $α$, since the pointwise rates depend on $nα^2$ instead of $nα^4$. Moreover, we show that the rate $(nα^4)^{-1}$ is optimal for estimating a covariance coefficient with non-interactive mechanisms. However, the $L_2$ rate of our interactive estimator is slower than the pointwise rate. We show how to use these procedures to provide a bona fide locally differentially private estimator of the entire covariance matrix. A simulation study validates our findings.

math.ST

Estimating eigenvectors and eigenspaces of covariance matrices: Optimal Bounds and Conditions for Consistency

Let $X = [ ξ_1, \,\, ξ_2,...\,\, ,ξ_d]^\top$ be a zero-mean random vector of large dimension $d$ ($d \rightarrow \infty$) with (hidden) covariance matrix $M = (m_{ij})_{1 \leq i, j \leq d},$ where $m_{ij} = m_{ji} = \textbf{Cov}(ξ_i, ξ_j).$ Let $X_1, X_2, \dots, X_n$ be $n$ iid samples of $X$. Consider the sample covariance matrix $$\textstyle \tilde{M} := \frac{1}{n} \sum_{i=1}^{n} X_i X_i^\top.$$ In practice, one frequently uses the eigenvectors and eigenspaces of $\tilde M$ as estimators for those of $M$. A central task is to provide an error analysis for these estimators. In this paper, we provide an optimal error analysis, obtaining upper and lower bounds of matching order of magnitude, for a wide range of parameters $d$ and $n$, under mild assumptions on $M$. As corollaries, we obtain new necessary and sufficient conditions for the consistency of the estimators. In these conditions, we only require the number of samples $n$ to depend linearly on the effective rank of $M$, which can be much smaller than the dimension $d$.

math.ST