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arXiv · 2002.09640

The Outbreak Evaluation of COVID-19 in Wuhan District of China

Yimin Zhou·Zuguo Chen·Xiangdong Wu·Zengwu Tian·Liang Cheng·Lingjian Ye
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Abstract

There were 27 novel coronavirus pneumonia cases found in Wuhan, China in December 2019, named as 2019-nCoV temporarily and COVID-19 formally by WHO on 11 February, 2020. In December 2019 and January 2020, COVID-19 has spread in large scale among the population, which brought terrible disaster to the life and property of the Chinese people. In this paper, we will first analyze the feature and pattern of the virus transmission, and discuss the key impact factors and uncontrollable factors of epidemic transmission based on public data. Then the virus transmission can be modelled and used for the inflexion and extinction period of epidemic development so as to provide theoretical support for the Chinese government in the decision-making of epidemic prevention and recovery of economic production. Further, this paper demonstrates the effectiveness of the prevention methods taken by the Chinese government such as multi-level administrative region isolation. It is of great importance and practical significance for the world to deal with public health emergencies.

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Yimin Zhou, Zuguo Chen, Xiangdong Wu, Zengwu Tian, Liang Cheng, Lingjian Ye. 2020-02-22. The Outbreak Evaluation of COVID-19 in Wuhan District of China. https://doi.org/10.3390/healthcare9010061

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