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arXiv · 2004.10334

Probabilistic analysis of masked loads with aggregated photovoltaic production

Shaohui Liu·Daniel Adrian Maldonado·Emil M. Constantinescu
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Abstract

In this paper we present a probabilistic analysis framework to estimate behind-the-meter photovoltaic generation in real time. We develop a forward model consisting of a spatiotemporal stochastic process that represents the photovoltaic generation and a stochastic differential equation with jumps that represents the demand. We employ this model to disaggregate the behind-the-meter photovoltaic generation using net load and irradiance measurements.

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Shaohui Liu, Daniel Adrian Maldonado, Emil M. Constantinescu. 2020-04-21. Probabilistic analysis of masked loads with aggregated photovoltaic production. https://arxiv.org/abs/2004.10334

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