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arXiv · 2005.02859

A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease

Xavier Bardina·Marco Ferrante·Carles Rovira
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Abstract

To model the evolution of diseases with extended latency periods and the presence of asymptomatic patients like COVID-19, we define a simple discrete time stochastic SIR-type epidemic model. We include both latent periods as well as the presence of quarantine areas, to capture the evolutionary dynamics of such diseases.

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Xavier Bardina, Marco Ferrante, Carles Rovira. 2020-05-13. A stochastic epidemic model of COVID-19 disease. https://arxiv.org/abs/2005.02859

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