First application of the failure forecast method to the GPS horizontal displacement data collected in the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) in 2011-2020

Andrea Bevilacqua; Abani Patra; E. Bruce Pitman; Marcus Bursik; Prospero De Martino; Flora Giudicepietro; Giovanni Macedonio; Stefano Vitale; Franco Flandoli; Barry Voight; Augusto Neri

arXiv · 2007.02756

First application of the failure forecast method to the GPS horizontal displacement data collected in the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) in 2011-2020

Andrea Bevilacqua·Abani Patra·E. Bruce Pitman·Marcus Bursik·Prospero De Martino·Flora Giudicepietro·Giovanni Macedonio·Stefano Vitale·Franco Flandoli·Barry Voight·Augusto Neri

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Abstract

Using the failure forecast method we describe a first assessment of failure time on present-day unrest signals at Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) based on the horizontal deformation data collected in [2011, 2020] at eleven GPS stations.

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Andrea Bevilacqua, Abani Patra, E. Bruce Pitman, Marcus Bursik, Prospero De Martino, Flora Giudicepietro, Giovanni Macedonio, Stefano Vitale, Franco Flandoli, Barry Voight, Augusto Neri. 2020-07-06. First application of the failure forecast method to the GPS horizontal displacement data collected in the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy) in 2011-2020. https://arxiv.org/abs/2007.02756

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