Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2008.12309

Further evidence for significant luminosity evolution in supernova cosmology

Young-Wook Lee·Chul Chung·Yijung Kang·M. James Jee
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Supernova (SN) cosmology is based on the assumption that the corrected luminosity of SN Ia would not evolve with redshift. Recently, our age dating of stellar populations in early-type host galaxies (ETGs) from high-quality spectra has shown that this key assumption is most likely in error. It has been argued though that the age-Hubble residual (HR) correlation from ETGs is not confirmed from two independent age datasets measured from multi-band optical photometry of host galaxies of all morphological types. Here we show, however, that one of them is based on highly uncertain and inappropriate luminosity-weighted ages derived, in many cases, under serious template mismatch. The other dataset employs more reliable mass-weighted ages, but the statistical analysis involved is affected by regression dilution bias, severely underestimating both the slope and significance of the age-HR correlation. Remarkably, when we apply regression analysis with a standard posterior sampling method to this dataset comprising a large sample ($N=102$) of host galaxies, very significant ($> 99.99 \%$) correlation is obtained between the global population age and HR with the slope ($-0.047 \pm 0.011$~mag/Gyr) highly consistent with our previous spectroscopic result from ETGs. For the local age of the environment around the site of SN, a similarly significant ($> 99.96 \%$) correlation is obtained with a steeper slope ($-0.057 \pm 0.016$ mag/Gyr). Therefore, the SN luminosity evolution is strongly supported by the age dating based on multi-band optical photometry and can be a serious systematic bias in SN cosmology.

Explore related subjects

astro-ph.GAastro-ph.CO

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Young-Wook Lee, Chul Chung, Yijung Kang, M. James Jee. 2020-09-09. Further evidence for significant luminosity evolution in supernova cosmology. https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357%2Fabb3c6

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Spatially Resolved Physical Properties of Young Star Clusters and Star-forming Clumps in the Brightest z>6 Galaxy, the Strongly Lensed Cosmic Spear at z=6.2

We present spatially resolved analysis of stellar populations in the brightest $z>6$ galaxy known to date (AB mag 23), the strongly lensed MACS0308$-$zD1 (dubbed the ``Cosmic Spear'') at $z_{\rm spec}=6.2$. New JWST NIRCam imaging and high-resolution NIRSpec IFU spectroscopy span the rest-frame ultraviolet to optical. The NIRCam imaging reveals bright star-forming clumps and a tail consisting of three distinct, extremely compact star clusters that are multiply-imaged by gravitational lensing. The star clusters have delensed effective radii of $R_{\rm{eff}} \lesssim 8$ pc, stellar masses of $M_{*} \sim 10^{6}-10^{7}\,M_{\odot}$, and high stellar mass surface densities of $Σ_{*} \gtrsim 2\times 10^{4}\,M_{\odot}~\rm{pc}^{-2}$. While their stellar populations are very young ($\sim 6-11$ Myr), their dynamical ages exceed unity, consistent with the clusters being gravitationally bound systems. Placing the star clusters in the size vs.~stellar mass density plane, we find they occupy a region similar to other high-redshift star clusters within galaxies observed recently with JWST, being significantly more massive and denser than local star clusters. Spatially resolved analysis of the brightest clump reveals a compact, intensely star-forming core. The ionizing photon production efficiency ($ξ_{\rm{ion}}$) is slightly suppressed in this central region, potentially indicating a locally elevated Lyman continuum escape fraction facilitated by feedback-driven channels.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Predicting Supermassive Black Hole-Host Mass Offsets from Broadband Photometry Across Cosmological Simulations with Forecasts for LSST

The possibility of over-massive black holes suggested by James Webb Space Telescope photometric discoveries of 'little red dots', may disfavor light supermassive black hole (SMBH) seeds. However, what should constitute the mass (range) of 'heavy' seeds remains relatively unconstrained. Moreover, Vera C Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time will photometrically characterize galaxies without direct black hole mass measurements. We forward-model the SIMBA, IllustrisTNG, and EAGLE cosmological simulations into the photometric bands of LSST to train an ensemble machine learning classifier. Our framework achieves $91\%$--$94\%$ accuracy across SIMBA and IllustrisTNG in distinguishing between over-massive and under-massive SMBH growth regimes under LSST magnitude limits, using only broadband photometry. Furthermore, cross-simulation transfer experiments (training on one cosmological simulation and evaluating on another using rank-normalized features) achieve $83\%$--$89\%$ accuracy. This suggests the relative photometric ordering of growth regimes is largely preserved even across fundamentally different sub-grid SMBH feedback prescriptions. Signal decomposition shows our classification is driven by host galaxy colors ($82\%$--$87\%$ accuracy) and, relatedly, the accretion-state's spectral energy distribution shape as opposed to an inversion of our forward model's analytical luminosity prescription. Given that the evaluated simulations employ heavy seed prescriptions ($\geq 10^{4}~M_\odot$), our methodology establishes a validated baseline for classifying post-seeding growth regimes.

astro-ph.GA↗
arXiv2026

Cross Subtype Transferability of Machine Learning Photometric Redshift Relations in Low Redshift Seyfert AGN

Photometric redshift estimation for active galactic nuclei (AGN) is complicated by the combined effects of host-galaxy light, nuclear emission, dust attenuation, and broadband spectral diversity. We investigate whether machine learning photo-z relations trained on one low-redshift Seyfert subtype remain valid when transferred to another, and whether probabilistic subtype classification can be used to identify sources for which a specialised regressor is reliable. Using spectroscopically selected Seyfert I and Seyfert II samples from SDSS, matched to AllWISE photometry over 0 < z_spec <= 0.6, we constructed a common 45-feature representation from SDSS ugriz and WISE W1-W4 data. Random Forest and XGBoost regressors were evaluated within each subtype, followed by controlled cross-subtype transfer tests, redshift and sample size-matched experiments, feature ablations, and an independent classifier-gated regression test. The subtype specific models achieved strong within-sample performance, with the Seyfert II model reaching R2 = 0.965 and sigma_NMAD = 0.0169. However, transfer between Seyfert I and Seyfert II produced a clear and asymmetric degradation in accuracy that persisted after matching the samples and restricting the photometric inputs. A probabilistic Seyfert classifier further identified subsets for which the Seyfert II regressor was more reliable, while extrapolation beyond the redshift range represented in training produced systematic underestimation. These results demonstrate that AGN photo-z performance depends strongly on the population and redshift domain represented in the training data, supporting subtype-aware calibration and applicability-based source selection.

astro-ph.GA↗