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arXiv · 2101.03490

Democracy and polarization in the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea

Jonghoon Kim·Seung Ki Baek
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Abstract

The median-voter hypothesis predicts convergence of party platforms across a one-dimensional political spectrum during majoritarian elections. Assuming that the convergence is reflected in legislative activity, we study the time evolution of political polarization in the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea for the past 70 years. By projecting the correlation of lawmakers onto the first principal axis, we observe a high degree of polarization from the early 1960's to the late 1980's before democratization. As predicted by the hypothesis, it showed a sharp decrease when party politics were revived in 1987. Since then, the political landscape has become more and more multi-dimensional under the action of party politics, which invalidates the assumption behind the hypothesis. For comparison, we also analyze co-sponsorship in the United States House of Representatives from 1979 to 2020, whose correlation matrix has been constantly high-dimensional throughout the observation period. Our analysis suggests a pattern of polarization evolving with democratic development, from which we can argue the power and the limitation of the median-voter hypothesis as an explanation of real politics.

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Jonghoon Kim, Seung Ki Baek. 2022-03-28. Democracy and polarization in the National Assembly of the Republic of Korea. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40042-022-00400-6

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