Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2108.06879

Partisan Confidence Model for Group Polarization

Armineh Rahmanian·Sadegh Bolouki·S. Rasoul Etesami·Abolfazl Mohebbi
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

Models of opinion dynamics play a major role in various disciplines, including economics, political science, psychology, and social science, as they provide a framework for analysis and intervention. In spite of the numerous mathematical models of social learning proposed in the literature, only a few models have focused on or allow for the possibility of popular extreme beliefs' formation in a population. This paper closes this gap by introducing the Partisan Confidence (PC) model inspired by the foundations of the well-established socio-psychological theory of groupthink. The model hints at the existence of a tipping point, passing which the opinions of the individuals within a so-called "social bubble" are exaggerated towards an extreme position, no matter how the general population is united or divided. The results are also justified through numerical experiments, which provide new insights into the evolution of opinions and the groupthink phenomenon.

Explore related subjects

physics.soc-phcs.SYeess.SYmath.DS

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Armineh Rahmanian, Sadegh Bolouki, S. Rasoul Etesami, Abolfazl Mohebbi. 2021-08-16. Partisan Confidence Model for Group Polarization. https://arxiv.org/abs/2108.06879

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Assessment of Latent Pedestrian-Vehicle Interaction Risk Profiles at Midblock Crossing in VR

Pedestrian safety at midblock crossings is a critical concern in mixed traffic environments where autonomous vehicles (AVs) and human-driven vehicles (HDVs) share the road. Pedestrians often infer intent from vehicle motion in AV encounters, making them vulnerable to small shifts in conflict margins. This study investigates whether virtual reality (VR) crossing sessions separate into distinct interaction risk profiles and whether AV-only sessions shift profile prevalence compared to HDV-only sessions. Using large-scale immersive VR experiments from Toronto, Canada, and Newcastle, England, we compute surrogate safety measures (SSMs) and apply latent profile analysis (LPA) to identify distinct pedestrian crossing stances, ranging from risk-accepting to highly cautious. Key findings show that Newcastle exhibits a higher prevalence of high-urgency risk profiles in AV-only sessions, indicating that AVs contribute to higher-risk encounters. In contrast, Toronto shows no significant difference between AV-only and HDV-only sessions, suggesting that contextual factors influence the impact of AVs on pedestrian safety.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2026

Unused power surge compromises U.S. road vehicles sustainability

Material and energy flows underpin sociotechnical metabolism. However, despite growing sustainability concerns over expanding material stocks and declining stock productivity, the link between material use and energy consumption remains poorly understood. This gap reflects a limited distinction between structures and the activity they enable, and the lack of quantification of the installed power of energy consuming structures. Here we reconstruct the long-term growth dynamics of U.S. road vehicles, distinguishing professional and consumer assets. We show that installed power, mass, and fuel energy use follow divergent patterns within and across vehicle categories. By introducing the usage factor as a metric linking structure to activity, we quantify decoupling mechanisms such as engine oversizing and fleet redundancy, which drive up material immobilization. As electrification requires large-scale fleet replacement, our findings highlight that avoiding power oversized vehicles could reduce material demand, emphasizing the need to account for structure-activity decoupling in energy transition policies.

physics.soc-ph↗
arXiv2026

Environmental sustainability in basic research: a perspective from HECAP+

The climate crisis and the degradation of the world's ecosystems require humanity to take immediate action. The international scientific community has a responsibility to limit the negative environmental impacts of basic research. The HECAP+ communities (High Energy Physics, Cosmology, Astroparticle Physics, and Hadron and Nuclear Physics) make use of common and similar experimental infrastructure, such as accelerators and observatories, and rely similarly on the processing of big data. Our communities therefore face similar challenges to improving the sustainability of our research. This document aims to reflect on the environmental impacts of our work practices and research infrastructure, to highlight best practice, to make recommendations for positive changes, and to identify the opportunities and challenges that such changes present for wider aspects of social responsibility.

physics.soc-ph↗