Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2203.12588

Controlling dynamics of a COVID--19 mathematical model using a parameter switching algorithm

Marius-F. Danca
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

In this paper the dynamics of an autonomous mathematical models of COVID-19 depending on a real parameter bifurcation, is controlled by switching periodically the parameter value. For this purpose the Parameter Switching (PS) algorithm is used. With this technique, it is proved that every attractor of the considered system can be numerically approximated and, therefore, the system can be determined to evolve along, e.g., a stable periodic motion or a chaotic attractor. In this way, the algorithm can be considered as a chaos control or anticontrol (chaoticization)-like algorithm. Contrarily to existing chaos control techniques which generate modified attractors, the obtained attractors with the PS algorithm belong to the set system attractors. It is analytically shown that using the PS algorithm, every system attractor can be expressed as a convex combination of some existing attractors. Moreover, is proved that the PS algorithm can be viewed as a generalization of Parrondo\textsc{\char13}s paradox.

Explore related subjects

math.DS

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Marius-F. Danca. 2022-03-21. Controlling dynamics of a COVID--19 mathematical model using a parameter switching algorithm. https://doi.org/10.1002/mma.9014

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Equidistribution of saddle periodic points for Hénon-like maps

We prove that under a natural assumption on the dynamical degrees, the saddle periodic points of a Hénon-like map in any dimension equidistribute with respect to the equilibrium measure. Our work is a generalization of the results of Bedford-Lyubich-Smillie, Dujardin, and Dinh-Sibony along with improvements of their techniques. We also investigate some fine properties of Green currents associated with the map.

math.DS↗
arXiv2026

On dissonance and orthogonal projections of self-conformal measures

Let $μ$ be a self-conformal measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$. We establish conditions for $μ$ under which $\dim(μ*ν) = \min\lbrace d,\dimμ+\dimν\rbrace$ holds when $ν$ is any Ahlfors-regular or self-conformal measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$. Our main result states the following sufficient condition: $μ$ is totally non-linear and not supported on a smooth hypersurface. We also establish sufficient (likely non-sharp) algebraic conditions for self-conformal measures which are not totally non-linear. In addition, we show that $\dim μ\circπ^{-1} = \min\{ k, \dim μ\}$ for every ortohogonal projection $π:\mathbb{R}^d\to\mathbb{R}^k$, $0<k<d$, when either $d=2$ and $μ$ is not self-similar and not supported on a line, or $d\geq 3$ and $μ$ is totally non-linear and not supported on a smooth hypersurface.

math.DS↗
arXiv2026

Equation-Free Screening of Mittag-Leffler-Compatible Dynamics from Scalar Time Series via kNN Multi-Horizon Profiles

Fractional models provide a natural description of systems with memory, but a noninteger derivative should not be introduced solely because a time series is curved or slowly relaxing. We develop an equation-free preliminary screening framework that asks whether a scalar time series produces a multi-horizon k-nearest-neighbor (kNN) profile more compatible with Mittag-Leffler-type behavior than with selected conventional alternatives. In an ideal matched Caputo-relaxation benchmark, the complete generation-kNN-profile-model-comparison pipeline reproduces the expected Mittag-Leffler geometry and recovers the generating order to within approximately $10^{-3}$; this is interpreted as controlled calibration rather than as general fractional-order identification. Under 3% trajectory-specific observational noise, the held-out Mittag-Leffler preference is most consistent when the generating dynamics are well separated from the integer-order limit and becomes progressively less decisive as $α\rightarrow1$. The fitted order $α_{\mathrm{fit}}$, however, shows substantially larger realization-to-realization variability. Thus, relative model compatibility is more robust than single-realization order estimation in the present noisy benchmark. Noise-free nonfractional controls show a separate limitation of specificity: a stretched exponential can generate a strongly Mittag-Leffler-compatible profile, whereas inclusion of the generating rational/Hill family recovers that family and its parameters to numerical precision in the matched setting. A positive Mittag-Leffler-versus-exponential screen therefore does not uniquely establish fractional origin. A fractional chaotic system is treated only as an exploratory extension: the Mittag-Leffler growth family gives lower finite-window RMSE than exponential and logistic/saturating alternatives over the detected pre-transition interval.

math.DS↗