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arXiv · 2207.12230

Mind the hubris: complexity can misfire

Arnald Puy·Andrea Saltelli
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Abstract

Here we briefly reflect on the philosophical foundations that ground the quest towards ever-detailed models and identify four practical dangers derived from this pursuit: explosion of the model's uncertainty space, model black-boxing, computational exhaustion and model attachment. We argue that the growth of a mathematical model should be carefully and continuously pondered lest models become extraneous constructs chasing the Cartesian dream.

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Arnald Puy, Andrea Saltelli. 2022-10-30. Mind the hubris: complexity can misfire. https://arxiv.org/abs/2207.12230

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