Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2210.10810

Identifying Tidal Disruption Events with an Expansion of the FLEET Machine Learning Algorithm

Abstract

We present an expansion of FLEET, a machine learning algorithm optimized to select transients that are most likely to be tidal disruption events (TDEs). FLEET is based on a random forest algorithm trained on the light curves and host galaxy information of 4,779 spectroscopically classified transients. For transients with a probability of being a TDE, \ptde$>0.5$, we can successfully recover TDEs with a $\approx40$\% completeness and a $\approx30$\% purity when using the first 20 days of photometry, or a similar completeness and $\approx50$\% purity when including 40 days of photometry. We find that the most relevant features for differentiating TDEs from other transients are the normalized host separation, and the light curve $(g-r)$ color during peak. Additionally, we use FLEET to produce a list of the 39 most likely TDE candidates discovered by the Zwicky Transient Facility that remain currently unclassified. We explore the use of FLEET for the Legacy Survey of Space and Time on the Vera C. Rubin Observatory (\textit{Rubin}) and the \textit{Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope} (\textit{Roman}). We simulate the \textit{Rubin} and \textit{Roman} survey strategies and estimate that $\sim 10^4$ TDEs could be discovered every year by \textit{Rubin}, and $\sim200$ TDEs per year by \textit{Roman}. Finally, we run FLEET on the TDEs in our \textit{Rubin} survey simulation and find that we can recover $\sim 30$\% of those at a redshift $z <0.5$ with \ptde$>0.5$. This translates to $\sim3,000$ TDEs per year that FLEET could uncover from \textit{Rubin}. FLEET is provided as a open source package on GitHub https://github.com/gmzsebastian/FLEET

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Sebastian Gomez, V. Ashley Villar, Edo Berger, Suvi Gezari, Sjoert van Velzen, Matt Nicholl, Peter K. Blanchard, Kate. D. Alexander. 2022-10-19. Identifying Tidal Disruption Events with an Expansion of the FLEET Machine Learning Algorithm. https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357%2Facc535

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Probing Extragalactic Ultralight Axion Dark Matter with Decade-long Blazar Optical Polarimetry of 1ES 1959+650

Axions or axion-like particles (ALPs) are well-motivated dark matter (DM) candidates whose coupling to photons induces periodic oscillations in the polarization angle of astrophysical light. This work reports the first search for such a signature using ten years of optical polarimetric monitoring of the blazar 1ES~1959+650. No statistically significant periodicity is detected, determined by a Lomb-Scargle periodogram combined with Monte Carlo analysis. Assuming a central DM density in the host galaxy, this null result places tight upper limits on the ALP-photon coupling constant at $g_{aγ}<(5.8 \times 10^{-14}-1.8\times 10^{-10})\,\mathrm{GeV}^{-1}$ across a broad ALP mass range of $m_a \sim (1.4\times10^{-23}-5.2\times10^{-20})\,\mathrm{eV}$. Our constraints surpass those from Very Long Baseline Array polarimetry of active galactic jets and from polarimetric data of the European Pulsar Timing Array, and are competitive with those from long-term Galactic pulsar timing of PSR J0437-4715 over the same ALP mass window. These results establish long-term blazar polarimetry as a competitive and complementary approach for probing axion-like DM on extragalactic scales.

astro-ph.HE↗

Detection of a puzzling dual-superorbital hard X-ray modulation in the X-ray binary GX 301-2

The superorbital modulations (SMs) observed in wind-fed X-ray binaries remain a puzzling phenomenon in astrophysics. To investigate this behavior observationally, we analyzed the long-term hard X-ray light curve from the Swift/BAT 157-Month Hard X-ray Survey in X-ray binary GX 301-2. Using three timing analysis methods--the Lomb-Scargle periodogram, the weighted wavelet Ztransform, and Gaussian processes--we identify a rare dual-SM behavior in this source: the 115-day modulation exceeds the 5$σ$ global significance level, whereas the 65-day signal only marginally reaches the 4$σ$ level. Because the 115-day period is more consistent with the previously reported linear relation between orbital and superorbital periods, we interpret 115 days as the actual superorbital period, while the weaker and less stable 65-day period is its beat modulation with the orbital period.By assessing the applicability of different physical scenarios to our results, we suggest that this dual-SM behavior is most plausibly associated with corotating interaction regions (CIRs) in the stellar wind. This framework can also account for the observed linear orbital-superorbital relation, despite the unclear physical mechanism that sets the apparent ratio between the CIR and orbital periods across sources. Further long-term monitoring of this system, together with continued theoretical development of the CIR scenario, will be essential for clarifying the origin of wind-fed SMs.

astro-ph.HE↗

Gaussian Process Inference of Stochastic Magneto-Active Dynamics and Viscosity in Swift J1727.8-1613

Linking X-ray variability to the underlying magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) dynamics of black hole X-ray binaries remains challenging. We systematically investigate the stochastic and oscillatory variability of the black hole X-ray binary candidate Swift J1727.8$-$1613 during its 2023 outburst using Gaussian process (GP) regression applied to Insight-HXMT multi-band light curves. The variability is modeled with a physically motivated composite kernel comprising one stochastically driven damped simple harmonic oscillator (SHO) and two damped random walk (DRW) components. The SHO term robustly recovers quasi-periodic oscillations (QPOs) with frequencies $ν_0 \sim 0.07$--$5$ Hz, consistent with the fundamental Alfvén mode of a contracting magnetically confined disk--coronal cavity. The quality factor rises from $Q \sim 3$ to $Q \sim 10$, suggesting increasing coherence of the magnetic cavity. We also find an anti-correlation between QPO frequency and the short DRW damping timescale, supporting our proposed stochastic magneto-active dynamics scenario. Associating the short and long DRW timescales with the local turbulent turnover and thermal adjustment timescales, respectively, we infer an effective viscosity parameter of $α\approx 0.1$, supporting a strongly magnetized accretion flow. Strikingly, near the onset of relativistic jet ejection around MJD 60206, both relaxation timescales collapse toward the 0.1 s sampling limit, suggesting a rapid reorganization of the disk internal energy balance immediately before jet launching. Our results establish GP inference as a powerful route to connecting X-ray timing observables with the dynamical state of black hole accretion flows.

astro-ph.HE↗