Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2309.04528

Fortifying gravitational-wave tests of general relativity against astrophysical assumptions

Abstract

Most tests of general relativity with gravitational-wave observations rely on inferring the degree to which a signal deviates from general relativity in conjunction with the astrophysical parameters of its source, such as the component masses and spins of a compact binary. Due to features of the signal, measurements of these deviations are often highly correlated with the properties of astrophysical sources. As a consequence, prior assumptions about astrophysical parameters will generally affect the inferred magnitude of the deviations. Incorporating information about the underlying astrophysical population is necessary to avoid biases in the inference of deviations from general relativity. Current tests assume that the astrophysical population follows an unrealistic fiducial prior chosen to ease sampling of the posterior -- for example, a prior flat in component masses -- which is is inconsistent with both astrophysical expectations and the distribution inferred from observations. We propose a framework for fortifying tests of general relativity by simultaneously inferring the astrophysical population using a catalog of detections. Although this method applies broadly, we demonstrate it concretely on massive graviton constraints and parameterized tests of deviations to the post-Newtonian phase coefficients. Using observations from LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA's third observing run, we show that concurrent inference of the astrophysical distribution strengthens constraints and improves overall consistency with general relativity. We provide updated constraints on deviations from the theory, finding that, upon modeling the astrophysical population, the 90\%-credible upper limit on the mass of the graviton improves by $25\%$ to $m_g \leq 9.6 \times 10^{-24}\, \mathrm{eV}/c^2$ and the inferred population-level post-Newtonian deviations move ${\sim} 0.4 \sigma$ closer to zero.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Ethan Payne, Maximiliano Isi, Katerina Chatziioannou, Will M. Farr. 2023-09-08. Fortifying gravitational-wave tests of general relativity against astrophysical assumptions. https://doi.org/10.1103/physrevd.108.124060

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Electrovacuum Black Hole Uniqueness

We prove the black hole uniqueness conjecture in the axially symmetric, stationary, electrovacuum setting, subject to the refined asymptotic analysis of the associated singular harmonic maps, which includes an analyticity hypothesis at the axes. More precisely, it is shown that any asymptotically flat solution of the Einstein--Maxwell equations in this class, with more than one black hole horizon component is either: Majumdar--Papapetrou, up to a duality rotation, in which case all logarithmic angle defects vanish, or every finite axis rod logarithmic angle defect is strictly negative and hence every interaction force is strictly attractive. The proof extends the singular harmonic map method used for vacuum Kerr uniqueness in [18].

gr-qc

Constraining Modified Mass-to-Horizon Cosmology Through Primordial Inflationary Observables

We investigate slow-roll inflation in a modified cosmological framework inspired by a generalized mass-to-horizon relation (MHR), $M=\gamma {c^2 L^n}/{G}$, where $n$ is a real parameter and $\gamma$ a dimensional constant. Using Padmanabhan's emergence paradigm, we derive the modified Friedmann equations for a flat FRW universe and analyze the dynamics of a canonical scalar field (inflaton) under the slow-roll approximation. We study the resulting inflationary phenomenology for power-law and Starobinsky potentials. For power-law potentials, the MHR modification fails to reconcile these models with current CMB constraints on $r$ and $n_s$. In contrast, Starobinsky inflation exhibits significant sensitivity to deviations from $n=1$. A perturbative analysis ($n=1+\Delta$) yields corrections to inflationary observables. We observe that the scalar power-spectrum normalization, under a fixed-Starobinsky prescription, imposes the stringent constraint $0.960 \lesssim n \lesssim 1.040$ for $N=60$ efolds. This is considerably tighter than spectral-index bounds. Our results establish inflation, particularly Starobinsky-like models, as a sensitive probe of generalized horizon thermodynamics and departures from standard MHR scaling.

gr-qc

Improving the Sensitivity of Gravitational Wave Detection with Weighted Conformal Prediction

In the last decade, kilometre-scale interferometric gravitational-wave detectors have observed hundreds of compact binary mergers, the majority of which are binary black holes. However, the data are noise-dominated, and multiple independent search algorithms (pipelines) are used to enhance sensitivity and improve robustness. Rather than the standard approach of selecting the most significant pipeline output, we combine the outputs from all pipelines using a conformal prediction-based framework to provide statistically rigorous confidence estimates for candidate events. While combining pipelines improves sensitivity and ranking robustness, it requires a principled statistical framework that remains valid as data properties evolve across observing runs. A key challenge is distribution shifts between simulated datasets used for training and calibration and the real, unlabelled, observations used for testing, which can invalidate coverage guarantees and bias confidence estimates. In this work, we address this challenge by incorporating likelihood-ratio reweighting into our conformal prediction framework to account for covariate shift. Using mock datasets containing simulated signals, we demonstrate that weighted conformal prediction restores well-calibrated coverage under covariate shift and increases the confidence of events near the detection threshold, recovering true signals that would otherwise be missed.

gr-qc