Evaluating the consequences: Impact of sex-selective harvesting on fish population and identifying tipping points via life-history parameters

Abstract

Fish harvesting often targets larger individuals, which can be sex-specific due to size dimorphism or differences in behaviors like migration and spawning. Sex-selective harvesting can have dire consequences in the long run, potentially pushing fish populations towards collapse much earlier due to skewed sex ratios and reduced reproduction. To investigate this pressing issue, we used a single-species sex-structured mathematical model with a weak Allee effect on the fish population. Additionally, we incorporate a realistic harvesting mechanism resembling the Michaelis-Menten function. Our analysis illuminates the intricate interplay between life history traits, harvesting intensity, and population stability. The results demonstrate that fish life history traits, such as a higher reproductive rate, early maturation of juveniles, and increased longevity, confer advantages under intensive harvesting. To anticipate potential population collapse, we employ a novel early warning tool (EWT) based on the concept of basin stability to pinpoint tipping points before they occur. Harvesting yield at our proposed early indicator can act as a potential pathway to achieve optimal yield while keeping the population safely away from the brink of collapse, rather than relying solely on the established maximum sustainable yield (MSY), where the population dangerously approaches the point of no return. Furthermore, we show that density-dependent female stocking upon receiving an EWT signal significantly shifts the tipping point, allowing safe harvesting even at MSY levels, thus can act as a potential intervention strategy.