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arXiv · 2402.02672

Estimation of conditional average treatment effects on distributed confidential data

Yuji Kawamata·Ryoki Motai·Yukihiko Okada·Akira Imakura·Tetsuya Sakurai
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Abstract

The estimation of conditional average treatment effects (CATEs) is an important topic in many scientific fields. CATEs can be estimated with high accuracy if data distributed across multiple parties are centralized. However, it is difficult to aggregate such data owing to confidentiality or privacy concerns. To address this issue, we propose data collaboration double machine learning, a method for estimating CATE models using privacy-preserving fusion data constructed from distributed sources, and evaluate its performance through simulations. We make three main contributions. First, our method enables estimation and testing of semi-parametric CATE models without iterative communication on distributed data, providing robustness to model mis-specification compared to parametric approaches. Second, it enables collaborative estimation across different time points and parties by accumulating a knowledge base. Third, our method performs as well as or better than existing methods in simulations using synthetic, semi-synthetic, and real-world datasets.

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Yuji Kawamata, Ryoki Motai, Yukihiko Okada, Akira Imakura, Tetsuya Sakurai. 2025-07-25. Estimation of conditional average treatment effects on distributed confidential data. https://arxiv.org/abs/2402.02672

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