Conformal Predictions for Probabilistically Robust Scalable Machine Learning Classification

Alberto Carlevaro; Teodoro Alamo Cantarero; Fabrizio Dabbene; Maurizio Mongelli

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arXiv · 2403.10368

Conformal Predictions for Probabilistically Robust Scalable Machine Learning Classification

Alberto Carlevaro·Teodoro Alamo Cantarero·Fabrizio Dabbene·Maurizio Mongelli

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Abstract

Conformal predictions make it possible to define reliable and robust learning algorithms. But they are essentially a method for evaluating whether an algorithm is good enough to be used in practice. To define a reliable learning framework for classification from the very beginning of its design, the concept of scalable classifier was introduced to generalize the concept of classical classifier by linking it to statistical order theory and probabilistic learning theory. In this paper, we analyze the similarities between scalable classifiers and conformal predictions by introducing a new definition of a score function and defining a special set of input variables, the conformal safety set, which can identify patterns in the input space that satisfy the error coverage guarantee, i.e., that the probability of observing the wrong (possibly unsafe) label for points belonging to this set is bounded by a predefined $\varepsilon$ error level. We demonstrate the practical implications of this framework through an application in cybersecurity for identifying DNS tunneling attacks. Our work contributes to the development of probabilistically robust and reliable machine learning models.

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Alberto Carlevaro, Teodoro Alamo Cantarero, Fabrizio Dabbene, Maurizio Mongelli. 2024-03-15. Conformal Predictions for Probabilistically Robust Scalable Machine Learning Classification. https://arxiv.org/abs/2403.10368

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