Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2403.16391

Physics-informed RL for Maximal Safety Probability Estimation

Abstract

Accurate risk quantification and reachability analysis are crucial for safe control and learning, but sampling from rare events, risky states, or long-term trajectories can be prohibitively costly. Motivated by this, we study how to estimate the long-term safety probability of maximally safe actions without sufficient coverage of samples from risky states and long-term trajectories. The use of maximal safety probability in control and learning is expected to avoid conservative behaviors due to over-approximation of risk. Here, we first show that long-term safety probability, which is multiplicative in time, can be converted into additive costs and be solved using standard reinforcement learning methods. We then derive this probability as solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs) and propose Physics-Informed Reinforcement Learning (PIRL) algorithm. The proposed method can learn using sparse rewards because the physics constraints help propagate risk information through neighbors. This suggests that, for the purpose of extracting more information for efficient learning, physics constraints can serve as an alternative to reward shaping. The proposed method can also estimate long-term risk using short-term samples and deduce the risk of unsampled states. This feature is in stark contrast with the unconstrained deep RL that demands sufficient data coverage. These merits of the proposed method are demonstrated in numerical simulation.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Hikaru Hoshino, Yorie Nakahira. 2024-03-25. Physics-informed RL for Maximal Safety Probability Estimation. https://doi.org/10.23919/acc60939.2024.10644621

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Observability and parameter estimation of a generic model for aggregated distributed energy resources

We propose a novel framework for estimating the parameters of an aggregated distributed energy resources (DER A) model. First, we introduce a rigorous method to determine whether all model parameters are estimable. When they are not, our approach identifies the subset of parameters that can be estimated. The proposed framework offers new insights into the number and specific parameters that can be reliably estimated based on commonly available measurements. It also highlights the limitations of calibrating such models. Second, we introduce a Kalman filtering method to calibrate the DER A model. Since we account for nonlinear effects such as saturation and deadbands, we develop a specific mechanism to handle smoothing functions within the Kalman filter. Specifically, we consider the extended and the unscented Kalman filter. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed framework on a modified IEEE 34-node distribution feeder with inverter- based resources. Our findings align with the North American Electric Reliability Corporation's parameterization guideline and underscore the importance of model calibration in accurately capturing the collective dynamics of distributed energy resources installed on distribution systems.

eess.SY

Salted Fisher Information for Hybrid Systems

Discrete events change how parameter-influence propagates in hybrid systems. Prevailing Fisher information for- mulations assume that sensitivities evolve smoothly according to continuous-time variational equations and therefore neglect the sensitivity updates induced by discrete events. This paper derives a Fisher information matrix formulation compatible with hybrid systems. To do so, we use the saltation matrix, which encodes the first-order transformation of sensitivities induced by discrete events. We call the resulting formulation the salted Fisher information matrix (SFIM). The proposed framework unifies continuous information accumulation during flows with discrete updates at event times. We also show that hybrid persistence of excitation is sufficient for the SFIM to be positive definite

eess.SY

Min-Max Grassmannian Optimization for Online Subspace Tracking

We propose GeRoST (Geometrically Robust Subspace Tracking), an online subspace tracking algorithm that models uncertainty in a subspace using a Grassmannian ball. We derive an exact scalar dual for the worst-case subspace problem, establish conditions for a unique worst-case subspace and a Riemannian gradient, and characterize the minimum radius needed to cover a dimensional extension of the target subspace. Each update uses either a spectral direction computed in a reduced subspace or the gradient of the window reconstruction loss. Our numerical experiments show that GeRoST achieves lower mean post-fault prediction error than GREAT in system identification. In video separation, it achieves higher precision and a better precision--recall balance, as measured by the F$_1$ score, than both GREAT and GRASTA at the reported thresholds, with lower recall and longer runtime.

eess.SY