Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2409.00193

Trophic Cascades and Habitat Suitability in Udanti Sitnadi Tiger Reserve: Impacts of Prey Depletion and Climate Change on Predator Prey Dynamics

Krishnendu Basak·Chiranjib Chaudhuri·M Suraj·Moiz Ahmed
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

This study investigates the trophic cascades and habitat suitability in Udanti Sitnadi Tiger Reserve (USTR), highlighting the roles of apex predators, subordinate predators, and prey species in maintaining ecosystem balance. Using the Trophic Species Distribution Model (SDM), we explored prey-predator interactions and habitat suitability, revealing that tigers, due to prey depletion, increasingly rely on cattle, while leopards adapt by preying on smaller species. The study emphasizes the need for prey augmentation and habitat restoration to support apex predators. Additionally, climate change projections for 2021-2040 and 2081-2100 under CMIP6 scenarios SSP245 and SSP585 indicate significant regional habitat shifts, necessitating adaptive management strategies. Kuladighat is projected to face habitat contraction, while Sitanadi may experience habitat expansion. Effective conservation efforts such as habitat restoration, prey augmentation and predator recovery are the most important steps needed to maintain the purpose of a Tiger reserve and conservation potential of Udanti-Sonabeda Tiger Conservation Unit (TCU). To achieve these dynamics, focusing on community participation, anti-poaching measures, and scientific recommendations are the most crucial components to focus on. This comprehensive analysis underscores the critical role of targeted conservation activities in prey-depleted landscapes to ensure the long-term survival of tigers and the overall health of forest ecosystems, enhancing biodiversity and mitigating human-wildlife conflicts in USTR.

Explore related subjects

q-bio.PE

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Krishnendu Basak, Chiranjib Chaudhuri, M Suraj, Moiz Ahmed. 2024-08-30. Trophic Cascades and Habitat Suitability in Udanti Sitnadi Tiger Reserve: Impacts of Prey Depletion and Climate Change on Predator Prey Dynamics. https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.00193

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

A conceptual predator-prey model with super-long transients

Drawing on the understanding of the logistic map, we propose a simple predator-prey model where predators and prey adapt to each other, leading to the co-evolution of the system. The special dynamics observed in periodic windows contribute to the coexistence of multiple time scales, adding to the complexity of the system. Typical dynamics in ecosystems, such as the persistence and coexistence of population cycles and chaotic behaviors, the emergence of super-long transients, regime shifts, and the quantifying of resilience, are encapsulated within this single model. The simplicity of our model allows for detailed analysis, reinforcing its potential as a conceptual tool for understanding ecosystems deeply.

q-bio.PE↗
arXiv2026

Mutation Order and Selection Shape Intratumor Heterogeneity in Tumor Evolution

Cancer progression often requires multiple driver mutations, but the same drivers may be acquired in different orders. How these pathways jointly shape tumor clonal structure remains unclear. We develop a multitype branching-process model in which malignant transformation requires two driver mutations, distinguishing malignant cells by mutation order and the independent transformation event that founded their clone. Under a successive exponential approximation, we establish point-process limits for pathway-specific clone sizes and derive a closed-form expression for the limiting expected Simpson's index of the combined malignant population. When both mutation orders yield malignant cells with the same net growth rate, the index decomposes into effective pathway weights, determined by mutation rates and birth-death dynamics at preceding stages, and within-pathway concentration terms, determined by intermediate-to-malignant growth-rate ratios. A driver's effect on heterogeneity thus depends critically on when it is acquired. A strong driver acquired early expands the intermediate lineage and increases the supply of independent malignant founders, whereas the same driver acquired last strengthens the growth and age advantage of early-founded malignant clones. Under additive fitness effects, these opposing mechanisms can produce a non-monotone relationship between selective advantage and clonal concentration. Threshold-like non-additive fitness effects can generate highly concentrated malignant populations, while order-dependent terminal fitness causes the faster-growing pathway to dominate asymptotically. These results show how mutation order, mutational accessibility, selection, and epistasis jointly determine lineage-level intratumor heterogeneity.

q-bio.PE↗
arXiv2026

Phase transitions in microbial lineage trees

Microbial populations exhibit high cell-to-cell variability, which fundamentally shapes population behavior. A striking consequence is the existence of phase transitions, where small genetic or environmental changes trigger abrupt shifts in population dynamics. While biological phase transitions have often been proposed, connecting observed behavior to the underlying physics has remained challenging. We combine population genetics with statistical physics to show how phase transitions arise naturally in microbial populations. We highlight the existence of a first-order transition in a model of bacterial plasmid engineering and find a strict lower bound on the number of plasmids that can be stably maintained in a population.

q-bio.PE↗