Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2409.12776

Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading Problems for Semi-Markov and Hawkes Jump-Diffusion Models

Luca Lalor·Anatoliy Swishchuk
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

This paper introduces a jump-diffusion pricing model specifically designed for algorithmic trading and high-frequency trading (HFT). The model incorporates independent jump and diffusion processes, providing a more precise representation of the limit order book (LOB) dynamics within a scaling-limit framework. Given that algorithmic and HFT strategies now dominate major financial markets, accurately modeling LOB dynamics is crucial for developing effective trading algorithms. Recent research has shown that LOB data often exhibit non-Markovian properties, reinforcing the need for models that better capture its evolution. In this paper, we address acquisition and liquidation problems under more general compound semi-Markov and Hawkes jump-diffusion models. We first develop jump-diffusion frameworks to capture these dynamics and then apply diffusion approximations to the jump components so that robust solutions can be given. Optimal trading strategies are formulated using stochastic optimal control (SOC) and solved numerically. Finally, we present strategy simulations analyzing price paths, inventory evolution, trading speed, and average execution prices. This study provides insights into how these models can improve execution strategies under more general price dynamics.

Explore related subjects

q-fin.MF

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Luca Lalor, Anatoliy Swishchuk. 2025-03-04. Algorithmic and High-Frequency Trading Problems for Semi-Markov and Hawkes Jump-Diffusion Models. https://doi.org/10.1080/14697688.2025.2541007

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Modeling interest rate swap volatility with GARCH processes

We examine the conditional volatility dynamics of the USD 1Yx10Y forward swap rate using GARCH(1,1), GJR-GARCH(1,1), and a two-regime Markov-switching GARCH (MSGARCH) model. The analysis uses daily data from 2007 to 2023 and incorporates market-implied measures (ATM swaption volatility and the SRVIX in- dex) together with a broad set of diagnostic tests. Standard GARCH and GJR- GARCH models show stable short-run parameters, but the intercept ω varies markedly across rolling windows, causing instability in the implied long-run vari- ance. This pattern, confirmed by the Nyblom test, motivates adopting a regime- switching specification. MSGARCH mitigates this issue by keeping regime-specific parameters stable and capturing time variation through filtered regime probabili- ties. It delivers the highest log-likelihood and lowest AIC, whereas BIC favours the more parsimonious GJR-GARCH. One-step-ahead backtesting indicates comparable short-horizon accuracy across models, but MSGARCH offers a clearer structural in- terpretation by isolating high- and low-volatility regimes aligned with major market events.

q-fin.MF↗
arXiv2026

Optimal Investment and Consumption in Financial Markets with Integrated Variance Clocks

We study the infinite-horizon optimal investment and consumption problem in a general class of continuous financial markets, where uncertainty is driven by a continuous non-decreasing stochastic clock representing accumulated variance. This framework encompasses classical Markovian and non-Markovian stochastic volatility models as well as singular realized-variance models in which no spot volatility process exists. We characterize the value process and optimal investment and consumption strategies in terms of a non-linear infinite-horizon backward stochastic differential equation driven jointly by calendar time and the stochastic clock. We develop a general well-posedness theory for this new class of IVC-BSDEs based on the method of sub- and supersolutions, establishing existence, uniqueness, and stability under natural conditions that might be of independent interest beyond the financial application at hand. We are moreover able to identify the sign of the $Z$-component of the solution using Malliavin calculus. We then apply our results to Volterra Heston models with locally integrable kernels, covering both rough and hyper-rough regimes. Exploiting the affine structure of the model, we verify the optimality of the candidate strategies in incomplete markets and obtain an explicit representation of the solution in the complete market case. Owing to the generality of the framework and the weak assumptions imposed on the stochastic clock, our results unify and extend several existing results for optimal investment and consumption, including classical Markovian stochastic volatility models.

q-fin.MF↗
arXiv2026

Liquidity Provision and Rebate Design in Option Markets

We provide a model for the nested optimisation problem of market making and rebate design problems in option markets and find optimal strategies. A single market maker trades multiple European call options in a local-stochastic volatility option market with both make and take strategies, modeled, respectively, as continuous and impulse controls. Her objective is to maximize, over all admissible make-take strategies, net profit of option portfolio value and cumulative rebate revenue, subject to a penalty on residual portfolio delta and vega. In addition, we demonstrate how an exchange can incentivize a market maker to improve market liquidity by setting suitable fee rebates, thereby resolving its own liquidity attraction problem. To this end, we propose a three-step rebate design scheme with flexibility to accommodate specific liquidity targets imposed by an exchange. Numerical results are provided to validate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme.

q-fin.MF↗