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arXiv · 2410.20726

Analysis of Diurnal Air Temperature Trends and Pattern Similarities in Highland and Lowland Stations of Italy and UK

Chalachew Muluken Liyew. Rosa Meo·Stefano Ferraris·Elvira Di Nardo
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Abstract

In this paper, an analysis of hourly air temperatures in four groups of 32 stations of the UK highland (five stations), UK lowland (four stations), Italian highland (eleven stations), and Italian lowland (twelve stations) at various altitudes was conducted over the period from 2002 to 2021. The study aimed to examine the trends of each hour of the day in that period, over different averaging time windows (-10 day, -30 day, and -60 day). The trends were computed using the Mann-Kendall trend test and Sen's slope estimator. The similarity of trends within and across the groups of stations was assessed using the hierarchical clustering with dynamic time warping technique. An additional analysis was conducted to show the correlation of trends among the group of stations using the correlation distance matrix. Hierarchical clustering and distance correlation analysis show trend similarities and correlations, also indicating dissimilarities among different groups. Using 30 day averages, significant warming trends in specific months at the Italian stations are evident, especially in February, July, August, and December. The UK highland stations did not show statistically significant trends, but clear pattern similarities were found within the groups, especially in certain months. The ultimate goal of this paper is to provide insights into temperature dynamics and climate change characteristics on regional and diurnal scales.

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Chalachew Muluken Liyew. Rosa Meo, Stefano Ferraris, Elvira Di Nardo. 2024-10-28. Analysis of Diurnal Air Temperature Trends and Pattern Similarities in Highland and Lowland Stations of Italy and UK. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.8643

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