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arXiv · 2501.01614

Evaluation of Rail Decarbonization Alternatives: Framework and Application

Adrian Hernandez·Max TM Ng·Nazib Siddique·Pablo L. Durango-Cohen·Amgad Elgowainy·Hani S. Mahmassani·Michael Wang·Yan Zhou
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Abstract

The Northwestern University Freight Rail Infrastructure and Energy Network Decarbonization (NUFRIEND) framework is a comprehensive industry-oriented tool for simulating the deployment of new energy technologies including biofuels, e-fuels, battery-electric, and hydrogen locomotives. By classifying fuel types into two categories based on deployment requirements, the associated optimal charging/fueling facility location and sizing problem are solved with a five-step framework. Life cycle analyses (LCA) and techno-economic analyses (TEA) are used to estimate carbon reduction, capital investments, cost of carbon reduction, and operational impacts, enabling sensitivity analysis with operational and technological parameters. The framework is illustrated on lower-carbon drop-in fuels as well as battery-electric technology deployments for US Eastern and Western Class I railroad networks. Drop-in fuel deployments are modeled as admixtures with diesel in existing locomotives, while battery-electric deployments are shown for varying technology penetration levels and locomotive ranges. When mixed in a 50 percent ratio with diesel, results show biodiesel's capacity to reduce emissions at 36 percent with a cost of 0.13 USD per kilogram of CO2 reduced, while e-fuels offer a 50 percent emissions reduction potential at a cost of 0.22 USD per kilogram of CO2 reduced. Battery-electric results for 50 percent deployment over all ton-miles highlight the value of future innovations in battery energy densities as scenarios assuming 800-mile range locomotives show an estimated emissions reduction of 46 percent with a cost of 0.06 USD per kilogram of CO2 reduced, compared to 16 percent emissions reduction at a cost of 0.11 USD per kilogram of CO2 reduced for 400-mile range locomotives.

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Adrian Hernandez, Max TM Ng, Nazib Siddique, Pablo L. Durango-Cohen, Amgad Elgowainy, Hani S. Mahmassani, Michael Wang, Yan Zhou. 2025-01-03. Evaluation of Rail Decarbonization Alternatives: Framework and Application. https://doi.org/10.1177/03611981231170182

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