Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2506.20114

Extracting Interpretable Models from Tree Ensembles: Computational and Statistical Perspectives

Abstract

Tree ensembles are non-parametric methods widely recognized for their accuracy and ability to capture complex interactions. While these models excel at prediction, they are difficult to interpret and may fail to uncover useful relationships in the data. We propose an estimator to extract compact sets of decision rules from tree ensembles. The extracted models are accurate and can be manually examined to reveal relationships between the predictors and the response. A key novelty of our estimator is the flexibility to jointly control the number of rules extracted and the interaction depth of each rule, which improves accuracy. We develop a tailored exact algorithm to efficiently solve optimization problems underlying our estimator and an approximate algorithm for computing regularization paths, sequences of solutions that correspond to varying model sizes. We also establish novel non-asymptotic prediction error bounds for our proposed approach, comparing it to an oracle that chooses the best data-dependent linear combination of the rules in the ensemble subject to the same complexity constraint as our estimator. The bounds illustrate that the large-sample predictive performance of our estimator is on par with that of the oracle. Through experiments, we demonstrate that our estimator outperforms existing algorithms for rule extraction.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Brian Liu, Rahul Mazumder, Peter Radchenko. 2026-03-30. Extracting Interpretable Models from Tree Ensembles: Computational and Statistical Perspectives. https://arxiv.org/abs/2506.20114

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Conditional Distributional Treatment Effects: Doubly Robust Estimation and Testing

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to capture such conditional distributional treatment effects, and develop a doubly robust estimator that is minimax optimal in the local asymptotic sense. Using this, we develop a test for the global homogeneity of conditional potential outcome distributions that accommodates discrepancies beyond the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), has provably valid type 1 error, and is consistent against fixed alternatives---the first test, to our knowledge, with such guarantees in this setting. We then provide a test that aggregates evidence across a grid of kernel-bandwidth choices. Furthermore, we derive exact closed-form expressions for two natural discrepancies (including the MMD), and provide a computationally efficient, permutation-free algorithm for our test.

stat.ML

Flow Matching for Count Data

High-dimensional count data arise in applications such as single-cell RNA sequencing and neural spike trains, where mappings between distributions across successive batches or time points form critical components of data analysis. The recent success of diffusion- and flow-based deep generative models for images, video, and text motivates extending these ideas to count-valued settings, but many existing methods either treat each count as a categorical state or transform counts into a continuous space, neither of which is natural or efficient when the count range is large. We propose count-FM, a flow-matching framework for count data based on a continuous-time birth-death process with local unit jumps. Count-FM learns marginal transitions efficiently in count space through simulation-free training of conditional transition rates, allowing transport between arbitrary count-distributed source and target populations. In simulation, count-FM variants achieve strong sample quality while using substantially fewer parameters. We further apply count-FM to scRNA-seq and neural spike-train data for unconditional generation, transport, and conditional generation. Across these tasks, count-FM yields improved sample quality, greater modeling efficiency, and interpretable transport paths.

stat.ML

Chaos Is a LADDER: Domain Generalization Beyond Invariance via Reweighting

Domain generalization (DG) aims to learn from multiple source domains and generalize to unseen target domains. Most DG methods pursue invariance: they seek a causal representation whose prediction rule is invariant across domains. This principle is effective when the causal mechanism is stable, but becomes restrictive when the domain itself modulates how causal content maps to the response. In this case, directly feeding domain style into the predictor can create misleading shortcuts, since style does not by itself cause the response. Yet the apparent chaos of multiple styles can become a ladder: style can locate the unseen target domain among source domains and guide which domain-dependent prediction rules should be trusted. We propose \emph{Latent Adaptive Domain Disentanglement and Environment Reweighting} (LADDER), a fixed-model DG pipeline that learns causal/style representations, freezes the encoders, fits source-specific classifiers, and uses an unlabeled target-domain covariate set only at inference to compute weights over these fixed classifiers, with no target labels or model-state updates. We establish theoretical guarantees for source reweighting and validate LADDER on simulations, FMoW, and a location-grouped iWildCam protocol, with gains in overall and group-averaged accuracy.

stat.ML