Information and fitness in two-state systems: self-replicating individuals in a fluctuating environment

Poulami Chatterjee; Cesar Nieto; Juan Manuel Pedraza; Abhyudai Singh

Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2508.00150

Information and fitness in two-state systems: self-replicating individuals in a fluctuating environment

Poulami Chatterjee·Cesar Nieto·Juan Manuel Pedraza·Abhyudai Singh

View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

A population of individuals with the same genes can present heterogeneous traits (phenotypes). The prevalence of this heterogeneity can be explained as a bet-hedging strategy that improves the population proliferation rate (fitness) in fluctuating environments. The phenotype distribution is influenced by factors such as competition between phenotypes, the duration of environmental states, and the rate of phenotype-switching. We illustrate these effects in a system where both the environment and the phenotype can adopt two states. This system includes scenarios such as symmetric bet-hedging and dormant-proliferating phenotypes. We examine how environmental and phenotypic states share mutual information, measured in bits, and explore the relationship between this information and population fitness. We propose that when fitness is measured relative to the case where phenotype and environment are independent, information and fitness can be treated as equivalent measures. We investigate strategies that individuals can use to improve this information, such as adjusting the rates of proliferation and phenotype-switching relative to the environmental fluctuation rate. Through these strategies, with fixed marginal distributions, an increase in information implies an increase in population fitness. We also identify limits to the maximum achievable fitness and information and discuss the value of the information in terms of this new normalized fitness. Our framework offers new insights into how organisms adapt to fluctuating environmental conditions.

Explore related subjects

q-bio.PE

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeX RIS

Poulami Chatterjee, Cesar Nieto, Juan Manuel Pedraza, Abhyudai Singh. 2025-07-31. Information and fitness in two-state systems: self-replicating individuals in a fluctuating environment. https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.00150

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Graph construction in QUBO-based recursive phylogenetic tree reconstruction

Molecular sequence data are used to reconstruct evolutionary relationships among taxa, but reconstruction accuracy depends not only on the tree-building method but also on how pairwise sequence relationships are represented. We evaluated sequence-to-affinity representations in a recursive normalized-cut (Ncut) framework whose graph-partitioning subproblems were formulated as quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) models and solved using Simulated Bifurcation. Using simulated amino-acid and nucleotide datasets spanning multiple tree-generation settings and evolutionary divergence, we compared normalized bit-score affinities with representations derived from transformed sequence similarities and evolutionary distances, examined post-swap refinement, and used neighbor joining (NJ) as a distance-based comparator. Affinity representation substantially affected internal split recovery, particularly for nucleotide data. JC69-based local affinities maintained comparatively high accuracy as divergence increased, whereas normalized bit-score and BLAST-derived kernel representations declined more markedly. Post-swap refinement generally improved recovery, but not consistently across individual reconstructions. NJ achieved higher mean split recovery than corresponding recursive Ncut reconstructions for WAG and JC69 distances across all evaluated conditions, whereas recursive Ncut outperformed NJ for BLAST-derived logarithmic distances under some conditions. These results show that graph construction is an important determinant of recursive Ncut-based phylogenetic reconstruction. A representation that performs well within Ncut does not necessarily provide the most accurate use of the underlying pairwise distances. Pairwise representation, affinity transformation, optimization, and recursive tree construction should therefore be evaluated jointly.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2026

A conceptual predator-prey model with super-long transients

Drawing on the understanding of the logistic map, we propose a simple predator-prey model where predators and prey adapt to each other, leading to the co-evolution of the system. The special dynamics observed in periodic windows contribute to the coexistence of multiple time scales, adding to the complexity of the system. Typical dynamics in ecosystems, such as the persistence and coexistence of population cycles and chaotic behaviors, the emergence of super-long transients, regime shifts, and the quantifying of resilience, are encapsulated within this single model. The simplicity of our model allows for detailed analysis, reinforcing its potential as a conceptual tool for understanding ecosystems deeply.

q-bio.PE↗

arXiv2026

Mutation Order and Selection Shape Intratumor Heterogeneity in Tumor Evolution

Cancer progression often requires multiple driver mutations, but the same drivers may be acquired in different orders. How these pathways jointly shape tumor clonal structure remains unclear. We develop a multitype branching-process model in which malignant transformation requires two driver mutations, distinguishing malignant cells by mutation order and the independent transformation event that founded their clone. Under a successive exponential approximation, we establish point-process limits for pathway-specific clone sizes and derive a closed-form expression for the limiting expected Simpson's index of the combined malignant population. When both mutation orders yield malignant cells with the same net growth rate, the index decomposes into effective pathway weights, determined by mutation rates and birth-death dynamics at preceding stages, and within-pathway concentration terms, determined by intermediate-to-malignant growth-rate ratios. A driver's effect on heterogeneity thus depends critically on when it is acquired. A strong driver acquired early expands the intermediate lineage and increases the supply of independent malignant founders, whereas the same driver acquired last strengthens the growth and age advantage of early-founded malignant clones. Under additive fitness effects, these opposing mechanisms can produce a non-monotone relationship between selective advantage and clonal concentration. Threshold-like non-additive fitness effects can generate highly concentrated malignant populations, while order-dependent terminal fitness causes the faster-growing pathway to dominate asymptotically. These results show how mutation order, mutational accessibility, selection, and epistasis jointly determine lineage-level intratumor heterogeneity.

q-bio.PE↗