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arXiv · 2509.10314

Most Western African migrants remain local and travel short distances

Irene Tafani·Ola Ali·Rafael Prieto-Curiel·Massimo Riccaboni
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Abstract

Migration patterns are complex and context-dependent, with the distances migrants travel varying greatly depending on socio-economic and demographic factors. While global migration studies often focus on Western countries, there is a crucial gap in our understanding of migration dynamics within the African continent, particularly in West Africa. Using data from over 60,000 individuals from eight West African countries, this study examines the determinants of migration distance in the region. Our analysis reveals a bimodal distribution of migration distances: while most migrants travel locally within a hundred km, a smaller yet significant portion undertakes long-distance journeys, often exceeding 3,000 km. Socio-economic factors such as employment status, marital status and level of education play a decisive role in determining migration distances. Unemployed migrants, for instance, travel substantially farther (1,467 km on average) than their employed counterparts (295 km). Furthermore, we find that conflict-induced migration is particularly variable, with migrants fleeing violence often undertaking longer and riskier journeys. Our findings highlight the importance of considering both local and long-distance migration in policy decisions and support systems, as well as the need for a comprehensive understanding of migration in non-Western contexts. This study contributes to the broader discourse on human mobility by providing new insights into migration patterns in Western Africa, which in turn has implications for global migration research and policy development.

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Irene Tafani, Ola Ali, Rafael Prieto-Curiel, Massimo Riccaboni. 2025-09-12. Most Western African migrants remain local and travel short distances. https://doi.org/10.1140/epjds%2Fs13688-026-00633-6

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