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arXiv · 2510.12227

Uncontrolled geostationary satellites: mapping periodic transitions to chaos with Lagrangian Descriptors

Abstract

Uncontrolled geostationary satellites abandoned near an unstable equilibrium point of the equator experience irregular transitions between dynamical states (continuous circulation, long and short libration). They are caused by the interaction between the longitudinal dynamics, governed by the tesseral harmonics of the geopotential, and the orbital precession forced by Earth's oblateness and lunisolar perturbations. The transitions are extremely sensitive to small perturbations, making the long-term evolution unpredictable. Recently, a Monte Carlo analysis of trajectories starting in the immediate vicinity of the 165 degrees E unstable equilibrium point, revealed that the evolution to chaos is not gradual. It occurs via sudden episodes of disorder at specific points of the precession cycle, when the orbital inclination is minimal. Due to the high cost of the statistical analysis, the results were limited to a single initial longitude. This paper applies modified versions of the diameter Lagrangian descriptor to reduce the computational burden. This enables mapping the dynamical behavior over the complete range of longitudes where transitions between modes of motion are possible, considering both unstable equilibrium points (165 degrees E and 15 degrees W). It is found that the episodes of chaos remain linked to the orbital inclination cycle, but their timing depends on the initial spacecraft longitude. As the initial position moves farther away from the unstable point, the transitions take place at higher values of the orbital inclination. The longitudes where the transitions occur at maximum inclination correspond to the boundaries of the chaotic region.

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BibTeXRIS

Roberto Flores, Jerome Daquin, Mauro Pontani, Hadi Susanto, Elena Fantino. 2025-10-14. Uncontrolled geostationary satellites: mapping periodic transitions to chaos with Lagrangian Descriptors. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11071-026-12249-6

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