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arXiv · 2510.15613

A Predictive Flexibility Aggregation Method for Low Voltage Distribution System Control

Clément Moureau·Thomas Stegen·Mevludin Glavic·Bertrand Cornélusse
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Abstract

This paper presents a method for predictive aggregation of the available flexibility at the residential unit level into a flexibility chart that represents the admissible active and reactive powers, along with the associated flexibility value. The method is also combined with centralized optimization to design a predictive privacy-preserving control scheme to manage low-voltage distribution systems in real-time. Similarly to hierarchical control strategies, this approach divides the optimization horizon into a real-time stage, responsible for decisions in the current market period, and an operational planning stage, which deals with decisions outside of this interval. First, a multiparametric optimization problem is solved offline at the residential unit level. Then, an operational planning problem, also formulated as a parametric optimization problem, is solved to account for the forecasts. The method generates the desired flexibility chart by combining the results of these two problems with measurements. The resulting approach is compatible with real-time control requirements, as heavy computations are performed offline in a decentralized manner. By linking real-time flexibility assessment with energy scheduling, our approach enables efficient and cost-effective management of low-voltage distribution systems. We validate this method on a low-voltage network of 43 buses by comparing it with a fully centralized optimization formulation with perfect foresight and a future-agnostic aggregation method.

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BibTeXRIS

Clément Moureau, Thomas Stegen, Mevludin Glavic, Bertrand Cornélusse. 2026-03-10. A Predictive Flexibility Aggregation Method for Low Voltage Distribution System Control. https://arxiv.org/abs/2510.15613

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