Search arXiv⌕ Search
Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2511.12803

Finite-Horizon Quickest Change Detection Balancing Latency with False Alarm Probability

Yu-Han Huang·Venugopal V. Veeravalli
View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

A finite-horizon variant of the quickest change detection (QCD) problem that is of relevance to learning in non-stationary environments is studied. The metric characterizing false alarms is the probability of a false alarm occurring before the horizon ends. The metric that characterizes the delay is \emph{latency}, which is the smallest value such that the probability that detection delay exceeds this value is upper bounded to a predetermined latency level. The objective is to minimize the latency (at a given latency level), while maintaining a low false alarm probability. Under the pre-specified latency and false alarm levels, a universal lower bound on the latency, which any change detection procedure needs to satisfy, is derived. Change detectors are then developed, which are order-optimal in terms of the horizon. The case where the pre- and post-change distributions are known is considered first, and then the results are generalized to the non-parametric case when they are unknown except that they are sub-Gaussian with different means. Simulations are provided to validate the theoretical results.

Explore related subjects

cs.ITmath.ITstat.ML

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Yu-Han Huang, Venugopal V. Veeravalli. 2025-11-16. Finite-Horizon Quickest Change Detection Balancing Latency with False Alarm Probability. https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.12803

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Radiance-Field Guided Pretraining: Scaling Localization Models with Unlabeled Wireless Signals

Radio frequency (RF)-based indoor localization offers significant promise for applications such as indoor navigation, augmented reality, and pervasive computing. While deep learning has greatly enhanced localization accuracy and robustness, existing localization models still face major challenges in cross-scene generalization due to their reliance on scene-specific labeled data. To address this, we introduce Radiance-Field Reinforced Pretraining (RFRP). This novel self-supervised pretraining framework couples a large localization model (LM) with a neural radio-frequency radiance field (RF-NeRF) in an asymmetrical autoencoder architecture. In this design, the LM encodes received RF spectra into latent, position-relevant representations, while the RF-NeRF decodes them to reconstruct the original spectra. This alignment between input and output enables effective representation learning using large-scale, unlabeled RF data, which can be collected continuously with minimal effort. To this end, we collected RF samples at 7,327,321 positions across 100 diverse scenes using four common wireless technologies--RFID, BLE, WiFi, and IIoT. Data from 75 scenes were used for training, and the remaining 25 for evaluation. Experimental results show that the RFRP-pretrained LM reduces localization error by over 40% compared to non-pretrained models and by 21% compared to those pretrained using supervised learning.

cs.IT↗
arXiv2026

Uniform Recovery of Structured Signals from Nonlinear Observations: Improved Error Rates

Consider the recovery of structured signals from nonlinear observations. Under Gaussian matrix and a large class of unknown nonlinear link functions, Plan and Vershynin (2016) showed that generalized Lasso achieves accurate nonuniform recovery of a fixed signal. More recently, Genzel and Stollenwerk (2023) showed that generalized Lasso is indeed capable of accurately recovering all structured signals. However, in some canonical settings with discontinuous link functions, their uniform recovery error rate is essentially slower than the nonuniform one. Specifically, in the recovery of $n$-dimensional $k$-sparse vectors from $m$ measurements, generalized Lasso with a perfectly tuned $\ell_1$ constraint achieves nonuniform error rate $ O(\sqrt{k\log(en/k)/m})$, while the uniform error rate of Genzel and Stollenwerk is no faster than $O((k\log(en/k)/m)^{1/4})$. In this paper, we narrow this gap by establishing improved uniform recovery guarantees under piecewise Lipschitz link functions with well-separated jump discontinuities. We analyze a projected gradient descent (PGD) algorithm whose projection can be onto a convex set or a cone, and our results for the PGD with a convex set are also valid for the generalized Lasso. In sparse recovery, the improved uniform error rates match the nonuniform rate $O(\sqrt{k\log(en/k)/m})$ up to logarithmic factors. Under the sign link function, we further show that iterative hard thresholding (a specific instance of the PGD) achieves uniform recovery error rate $O(\sqrt{k\log(en/k)/m})$, matching the nonuniform rate up to a universal constant. Technically, the uniform guarantees for the PGD are obtained by showing that the gradient maps satisfy the restricted approximate invertibility condition uniformly over all signals. We demonstrate that this is a general approach to uniform recovery under nonlinear observations.

cs.IT↗
arXiv2026

Recursive overlap Bernoulli distributions and an entropy concavity conjecture

We introduce a family of recursively generated finite probability distributions obtained from left and right embeddings with overlaps. The construction interpolates between the classical binomial distribution and the non-overlapping Bernoulli product distribution. We derive explicit formulas for the expectation, variance, and the generating function of higher moments, and formulate a conjecture asserting that the Shannon entropy is concave. The conjecture is proved in the two extremal cases and supported by symbolic computations for numerous overlap sequences.

cs.IT↗