Search arXiv⌕ Search

arXiv · 2511.19771

Differentially Private Computation of the Gini Index for Income Inequality

Abstract

The Gini index is a widely reported measure of income inequality. In some settings, the underlying data used to compute the Gini index are confidential. The organization charged with reporting the Gini index may be concerned that its release could leak information about the underlying data. We present an approach for bounding this information leakage by releasing a differentially private version of the Gini index. In doing so, we analyze how adding, deleting, or altering a single observation in any specific dataset can affect the computation of the Gini index; this is known as the local sensitivity. We then derive a smooth upper bound on the local sensitivity. Using this bound, we define a mechanism that adds noise to the Gini index, thereby satisfying differential privacy. Using simulated and genuine income data, we show that the mechanism can reduce the errors from noise injection substantially relative to differentially private algorithms that rely on the global sensitivity, that is, the maximum of the local sensitivities over all possible datasets. We characterize settings where using smooth sensitivity can provide highly accurate estimates, as well as settings where the noise variance is simply too large to provide reliably useful results. We also present a Bayesian post-processing step that provides interval estimates about the value of the Gini index computed with the confidential data.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Wenjie Lan, Jerome P. Reiter. 2025-11-24. Differentially Private Computation of the Gini Index for Income Inequality. https://arxiv.org/abs/2511.19771

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Bridging Impulse Control of Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes and Markov Decision Processes: Frameworks, Extensions, and Open Challenges

Control theory plays a pivotal role in understanding and optimizing the behavior of complex dynamical systems across various scientific and engineering disciplines. Two key frameworks that have emerged for modeling and solving control problems in stochastic systems are piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) and Markov decision processes (MDPs). Each framework has its unique strengths, and their intersection offers promising opportunities for tackling a broad class of problems, particularly in the context of impulse controls and decision-making in complex systems. The relationship between PDMPs and MDPs is a natural subject of exploration, as embedding impulse control problems for PDMPs into the MDP framework could open new avenues for their analysis and resolution. Specifically, this integration would allow leveraging the computational and theoretical tools developed for MDPs to address the challenges inherent in PDMPs. On the other hand, PDMPs can offer a versatile and simple paradigm to model continuous time problems that are often described as discrete-time MDPs parametrized by complex transition kernels. This transformation has the potential to bridge the gap between the two frameworks, enabling solutions to previously intractable problems and expanding the scope of both fields. This paper presents a comprehensive review of two research domains, illustrated through a recurring medical example. The example is revisited and progressively formalized within the framework of thevarious concepts and objects introduced

stat.ME↗

Decision Theoretic Subgroup Detection With Bayesian Machine Learning

We consider the problem of identifying promising subpopulations in terms of treatment effectiveness or treatment effect heterogeneity, from a Bayesian decision theoretic perspective. We first show that a straight-forward application of Bayesian decision theory to subgroup detection leads to a counter-intuitive risk-seeking (RS) behavior. Motivated by this observation, we introduce the Bayesian Risk-Aware Inference and Detection of Subgroups (BRAIDS) utility and use it to perform subgroup selection and post selection inference. The BRAIDS utility interpolates between risk-seeking (RS) and risk-averse (RA) identifications of subgroups, with a variant of the virtual twins algorithm as its risk-neutral midpoint. We also argue that effective subgroup estimation and inference requires the use of regularization priors to safeguard inferences from the winner's curse. We provide empirical evidence that posterior credible intervals for subgroup effects can still obtain nominal coverage levels, provided that an appropriate prior distribution is chosen. The proposed framework is illustrated on data from clinical trial assessing the efficacy of canagliflozin as a treatment for type 2 diabetes.

stat.ME↗

Modeling cyclostationarity in time series using ASCA

Modern data analysis across diverse disciplines increasingly relies on time series. Many of these datasets exhibit cyclostationarity, where patterns approximately repeat in a regular manner, often across multiple time scales, such as daily, weekly or yearly cycles. In this context, statistical inference is essential to distinguish genuine underlying effects from random variability. While tools like Analysis of Variance (ANOVA) provide such inference, they often lack interpretability and struggle with the complexities of multivariate data. To address these limitations, we propose a unified pipeline for the exploratory analysis of cyclostationary times series using ANOVA Simultaneous Component Analysis (ASCA). ASCA is an extension of ANOVA that is able to work in both univariate and multivariate cases. Combining inference with the visualization capabilities of Principal Component Analysis (PCA), ASCA provides powerful options for interpretability. ASCA's capabilities have been well-established in the analysis of experimental data, but they remain largely unexplored for observational data like time series. Our workflow introduces an algorithmic approach to modeling time-dependent data using ASCA, enabling control over multiple cyclostationary time scales while also accounting for the specific challenges of this type of data, such as autocorrelation. Furthermore, we observed that ASCA provides a better separation of variability across factors than ANOVA in unbalanced designs due to its multivariate nature. We demonstrate the efficacy of this methodology through two real-world case studies: water temperature trends in mountain lakes in Sierra Nevada, Spain, and airborne pollen trends over 30 years recorded in the city of Granada, Spain.

stat.ME↗