Manin's conjecture for $\mathcal{M}$-points

Boaz Moerman

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arXiv · 2512.07654

Manin's conjecture for $\mathcal{M}$-points

Boaz Moerman

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Abstract

We initiate a general quantitative study of sets of $\mathcal{M}$-points, which are special subsets of rational points, generalizing Campana points, Darmon points, and squarefree solutions of Diophantine equations. We propose an asymptotic formula for the number of $\mathcal{M}$-points of bounded height on rationally connected varieties, extending Manin's conjecture as well as its generalization to Campana points by Pieropan, Smeets, Tanimoto and Várilly-Alvarado. Finally, we show that the conjecture explains several previously established results in arithmetic statistics.

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Boaz Moerman. 2026-02-23. Manin's conjecture for $\mathcal{M}$-points. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.07654

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