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arXiv · 2512.24253

Early Prediction of Sepsis using Heart Rate Signals and Genetic Optimized LSTM Algorithm

Alireza Rafiei·Farshid Hajati·Alireza Rezaee·Amirhossien Panahi·Shahadat Uddin
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Abstract

Sepsis, characterized by a dysregulated immune response to infection, results in significant mortality, morbidity, and healthcare costs. The timely prediction of sepsis progression is crucial for reducing adverse outcomes through early intervention. Despite the development of numerous models for Intensive Care Unit (ICU) patients, there remains a notable gap in approaches for the early detection of sepsis in non-ward settings. This research introduces and evaluates four novel machine learning algorithms designed for predicting the onset of sepsis on wearable devices by analyzing heart rate data. The architecture of these models was refined through a genetic algorithm, optimizing for performance, computational complexity, and memory requirements. Performance metrics were subsequently extracted for each model to evaluate their feasibility for implementation on wearable devices capable of accurate heart rate monitoring. The models were initially tailored for a prediction window of one hour, later extended to four hours through transfer learning. The encouraging outcomes of this study suggest the potential for wearable technology to facilitate early sepsis detection outside ICU and ward environments.

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Alireza Rafiei, Farshid Hajati, Alireza Rezaee, Amirhossien Panahi, Shahadat Uddin. 2025-12-30. Early Prediction of Sepsis using Heart Rate Signals and Genetic Optimized LSTM Algorithm. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24253

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