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arXiv · 2512.24371

Utility Maximisation with Model-independent Constraints

Alexander M. G. Cox·Daniel Hernandez-Hernandez
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Abstract

We consider an agent who has access to a financial market, including derivative contracts, who looks to maximise her utility. Whilst the agent looks to maximise utility over one probability measure, or class of probability measures, she must also ensure that the mark-to-market value of her portfolio remains above a given threshold. When the mark-to-market value is based on a more pessimistic valuation method, such as model-independent bounds, we recover a novel optimisation problem for the agent where the agents investment problem must satisfy a pathwise constraint. For complete markets, the expression of the optimal terminal wealth is given, using the max-plus decomposition for supermartingales. Moreover, for the Black-Scholes-Merton model the explicit form of the process involved in such decomposition is obtained, and we are able to investigate numerically optimal portfolios in the presence of options which are mispriced according to the agent's beliefs.

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Alexander M. G. Cox, Daniel Hernandez-Hernandez. 2025-12-30. Utility Maximisation with Model-independent Constraints. https://arxiv.org/abs/2512.24371

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