Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2601.05367

The rights and wrongs of rescaling in population genetics simulations

Abstract

Computer simulations of complex population genetic models are an essential tool for making sense of the large-scale datasets of multiple genome sequences from a single species that are becoming increasingly available. A widely used approach for reducing computing time is to simulate populations that are much smaller than the natural populations that they are intended to represent, by using parameters such as selection coefficients and mutation rates whose products with the population size correspond to those of the natural populations. This approach has come to be known as rescaling, and is justified by the theory of the genetics of finite populations. Recently, however, there have been criticisms of this practice, which have brought to light situations in which it can lead to erroneous conclusions. This paper reviews the theoretical basis for rescaling, and relates it to current practice in population genetics simulations. It shows that some population genetic statistics are scaleable while others are not. Additionally, it shows that there are likely to be problems with rescaling when simulating large chromosomal regions, due to the non-linear relation between the physical distance between a pair of separate nucleotide sites and the frequency of recombination between them. Other difficulties with rescaling can arise in connection with simulations of selection on complex traits, and with populations that reproduce partly by self-fertilization or asexual reproduction. A number of recommendations are made for good practice in relation to rescaling.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Parul Johri, Fanny Pouyet, Brian Charlesworth. 2026-07-11. The rights and wrongs of rescaling in population genetics simulations. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.05367

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Phase transitions in microbial lineage trees

Microbial populations exhibit high cell-to-cell variability, which fundamentally shapes population behavior. A striking consequence is the existence of phase transitions, where small genetic or environmental changes trigger abrupt shifts in population dynamics. While biological phase transitions have often been proposed, connecting observed behavior to the underlying physics has remained challenging. We combine population genetics with statistical physics to show how phase transitions arise naturally in microbial populations. We highlight the existence of a first-order transition in a model of bacterial plasmid engineering and find a strict lower bound on the number of plasmids that can be stably maintained in a population.

q-bio.PE

Phylogenetic Inference and the Stickiness of Fréchet Means, via Precise Asymptotics of an Embedded Random Walk

A well-known phenomenon in statistical analyses of populations of phylogenetic trees in the Billera-Holmes-Vogtmann space is that the topology of the Fréchet mean tree can contain multifurcations (i.e., internal nodes with more than two children), which raises the practical question of whether this reflects a population-level branching structure (hard polytomy) or merely sampling variability in the data (soft polytomy). This is an instance of the more general phenomenon of "stickiness" in non-Euclidean statistics, whereby the sample Fréchet mean in certain non-positively curved stratified spaces becomes permanently trapped in a lower-dimensional stratum. In this work, we identify a particular multidimensional random walk embedded within the Fréchet mean process, and we show that the time at which stickiness occurs is determined by the largest last-passage time above zero of the coordinates of this random walk. Using this representation, we develop a fully nonparametric procedure for estimating the probability that trifurcations in a sample Fréchet mean tree will bifurcate at some future time if more observations are collected. Lastly, we apply our methodology to a problem in phylogenetics where we consider whether an observed trifurcation in the species tree of primates, glires, and tree shrews is genuinely trifurcated at the population level.

q-bio.PE

Coexistence coalitions in propagule disperser quasi-communities

Many natural ecosystems harbor large numbers of coexisting species competing for far fewer distinct resources, in apparent defiance of the competitive exclusion principle. Various mechanisms have been proposed to explain this apparent paradox, often pertaining to organisms with a two-stage sessile--propagule life cycle. Here we develop a stochastic model class for such propagule disperser communities that combines competition--colonization trade-offs, spatial heterogeneity, demographic stochasticity, as well as inherited trait variation, and recover several classical models as special or limiting cases. Using bifurcation analysis, we classify equilibrium coalitions near the extinction threshold and give sufficient conditions for their realization by macroscopic equilibria away from the threshold, bypassing the costly numerical computation of the actual equilibrium states. Illustrative examples examine the resulting trait distributions and coalition patterns, demonstrating the interactive effects of different coexistence mechanisms.

q-bio.PE