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arXiv · 2601.17003

Beyond Simulations: What 20,000 Real Conversations Reveal About Mental Health AI Safety

Abstract

Mental-health AI safety is typically evaluated with small, simulation-based benchmarks that may not reflect the linguistic and contextual diversity of deployment. We pair four benchmark replications with an ecological audit of real-world conversations to evaluate a purpose-built mental-health AI alongside six frontier general-purpose models spanning four families (OpenAI GPT-5, GPT-5.1, GPT-5.2; DeepSeek V3; Google Gemini 3 Flash; Moonshot Kimi K2). The purpose-built system produced significantly lower overall potentially harmful content rates than every frontier comparator on suicide/self-harm, eating-disorder, and substance-use prompts (CCDH Benchmark: Ash 6.2% vs frontier models 18.0-52.0%, all p < .001). In an audit of 20,000 deployment conversations, clinician review within the audit pipeline confirmed no suicide-risk conversations lacking crisis resources and three NSSI-related conversations without crisis intervention, a within-pipeline conditional rate of 3/800 (0.38%). To extend population-level inference, we adjudicated 600 conversations randomly sampled from the full deployment distribution via blinded clinician review. Against these labels, the LLM judge showed 100% sensitivity (6/6; 95% CI 54.1-100%) and 99.2% specificity (589/594) at its operating threshold, and the conversational model delivered crisis resources in all 6 clinician-confirmed cases (zero end-to-end false negatives; rule-of-three upper 95% CI 0.50%). Findings argue for ecological auditing as a complement to pre-deployment evaluation in mental-health AI safety

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Caitlin A. Stamatis, Jonah Meyerhoff, Richard Zhang, Olivier Tieleman, Matteo Malgaroli, Thomas D. Hull. 2026-08-03. Beyond Simulations: What 20,000 Real Conversations Reveal About Mental Health AI Safety. https://arxiv.org/abs/2601.17003

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