A Probabilistic Model-Checking Framework for Cognitive Assessment and Training

Elisabetta De Maria; Christopher Leturc

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arXiv · 2602.03643

A Probabilistic Model-Checking Framework for Cognitive Assessment and Training

Elisabetta De Maria·Christopher Leturc

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Abstract

Serious games have proven to be effective tools for screening cognitive impairments and supporting diagnosis in patients with neurodegenerative diseases like Alzheimer's and Parkinson's. They also offer cognitive training benefits. According to the DSM-5 classification, cognitive disorders are categorized as Mild Neurocognitive Disorders (mild NCDs) and Major Neurocognitive Disorders (Major NCDs). In this study, we focus on three patient groups: healthy, mild NCD, and Major NCD. We employ Discrete Time Markov Chains to model the behavior exhibited by each group while interacting with serious games. By applying model-checking techniques, we can identify discrepancies between expected and actual gameplay behavior. The primary contribution of this work is a novel theoretical framework designed to assess how a practitioner's confidence level in diagnosing a patient's Alzheimer's stage evolves with each game session (diagnosis support). Additionally, we propose an experimental protocol where the difficulty of subsequent game sessions is dynamically adjusted based on the patient's observed behavior in previous sessions (training support).

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Elisabetta De Maria, Christopher Leturc. 2026-02-03. A Probabilistic Model-Checking Framework for Cognitive Assessment and Training. https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.03643

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