Pointwise mutual information bounded by stochastic Fisher information

Abstract

How much information about an unknown parameter can be assigned to one realized outcome, and how is that information constrained by the sensitivity of the same outcome? We derive upper bounds on the pointwise mutual information in terms of the stochastic Fisher information, both for parameters in a bounded interval and for sufficiently regular differentiable priors, and state the corresponding saturation conditions. Averaging the pointwise inequality and applying Jensen's inequality twice yields the known mutual-information--Fisher-information bound, while making explicit the outcome dependence discarded by the ensemble description. We illustrate the classical result using the instantaneous position of an overdamped Langevin particle as the observed outcome. For a fixed, parameter-independent quantum measurement, the stochastic Fisher information is further bounded by the conditional quantum Fisher information (CQFI), whose probability-weighted mean is the quantum Fisher information. A thermal-qubit field-sensing example evaluates this finite-prior bound deterministically from exact $2\times2$ matrices and, separately, decomposes the projected SLD second moment into population, coherent, and interference contributions. The interference contribution can be negative for an individual probe direction and has zero unweighted trace, but it is not itself an operational measure of readout quality. Neither the CQFI nor its mean selects a measurement basis: the latter is measurement-independent, whereas the relevant basis-dependent local objective is the classical Fisher information of the chosen measurement.