Finite Certificates for In-Context Determinacy and a Threshold Theory of Emergence in Language Models

Faruk Alpay; Hamdi Alakkad

Home/Archive/arXiv

arXiv · 2606.07623

Finite Certificates for In-Context Determinacy and a Threshold Theory of Emergence in Language Models

Faruk Alpay·Hamdi Alakkad

View original source ↗Read source document ↗Export metadata ↓

Abstract

This paper develops a model-theoretic framework for verifying context-conditioned language-model behavior by replacing benchmark labels with finite semantic certificates. The first problem is finite determinacy: when do examples in a context force the answer to a query without changing model parameters? In finite-field linear task families, we prove an exact row-space criterion, compute the residual hypothesis count, derive full and query-local identification curves, and show that extracting a smallest forcing subcontext is NP-complete even for binary outputs. The second problem is threshold emergence: when does an apparent benchmark jump reflect a semantic transition rather than a discontinuity of the scoring map? We prove an anti-mirage theorem separating thresholded metrics from semantic confidence and give a rate-sensitive crossing bound for latent commitments becoming visible above threshold. The common semantic object is a confidence functional on definable events. We show that it is a Boolean probability measure, equivalently a Keisler measure on the relevant type space, whose measure-one formulas form a proper filter and whose Stone-space representation is invariant under definitional expansion. The resulting calculus provides finite context certificates, pair-separator hitting sets, query teaching dimension, prompt-preservation criteria, and scale-limit witnesses. Exact-arithmetic ancillary scripts reproduce the finite-field and threshold calculations and generate the data used by the figures.

Explore related subjects

cs.LG cs.LO

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeX RIS

Faruk Alpay, Hamdi Alakkad. 2026-05-30. Finite Certificates for In-Context Determinacy and a Threshold Theory of Emergence in Language Models. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.07623

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

arXiv2026

Online Regularized Statistical Learning in Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space With Non-Stationary Data

We study recursive regularized learning algorithms in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) with non-stationary online data streams. We introduce the concept of a random Tikhonov regularization path and decompose the tracking error of the algorithm's output for the regularization path into random difference equations in RKHS. We show that the tracking error vanishes in mean square and almost surely if the regularization path is slowly time-varying. Then, leveraging the monotonicity of inverse operators and the spectral decomposition of compact operators, and introducing the RKHS persistence of excitation condition, we develop a dominated convergence method to prove the mean square and almost sure consistency between the regularization path and the unknown function to be learned. Especially, for independent and non-identically distributed data streams, the mean square and almost sure consistency between the algorithm's output and the unknown function is achieved if the input data's marginal probability measures are slowly time-varying and the average measure over each fixed-length time period is uniformly above a strictly positive finite Borel measure.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Reflective Policy Optimization

On-policy reinforcement learning methods, like Trust Region Policy Optimization (TRPO) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO), often demand extensive data per update, leading to sample inefficiency. This paper introduces Reflective Policy Optimization (RPO), a novel on-policy extension that amalgamates past and future state-action information for policy optimization. This approach empowers the agent for introspection, allowing modifications to its actions within the current state. Theoretical analysis confirms that policy performance is monotonically improved and contracts the solution space, consequently expediting the convergence procedure. Empirical results demonstrate RPO's feasibility and efficacy in two reinforcement learning benchmarks, culminating in superior sample efficiency. The source code of this work is available at https://github.com/Edgargan/RPO.

cs.LG↗

arXiv2026

Transductive Off-policy Proximal Policy Optimization

Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) is a popular model-free reinforcement learning algorithm, esteemed for its simplicity and efficacy. However, due to its inherent on-policy nature, its proficiency in harnessing data from disparate policies is constrained. This paper introduces a novel off-policy extension to the original PPO method, christened Transductive Off-policy PPO (ToPPO). Herein, we provide theoretical justification for incorporating off-policy data in PPO training and prudent guidelines for its safe application. Our contribution includes a novel formulation of the policy improvement lower bound for prospective policies derived from off-policy data, accompanied by a computationally efficient mechanism to optimize this bound, underpinned by assurances of monotonic improvement. Comprehensive experimental results across six representative tasks underscore ToPPO's promising performance.

cs.LG↗