CG-MambaNet: A spatiotemporal framework for cross-patient epileptic seizure prediction using CNN-GCN-Mamba-BiLSTM with event-level clinical evaluation

Abstract

Epileptic seizure prediction from scalp EEG is critical for closed-loop neurostimulation therapy. Existing deep-learning methods share two architectural limitations: they model EEG channels independently, neglecting inter-channel spatial synchrony, and process raw time-domain samples without frequency decomposition. A methodological limitation also affects the field: most studies use data splits that permit patient-level information leakage, yielding optimistic estimates that do not generalise to unseen patients. We present CG-MambaNet, a spatiotemporal seizure prediction framework addressing all three limitations. A depthwise separable CNN front-end decomposes each EEG patch into multi-scale spectro-temporal features, capturing delta-to-gamma band dynamics before sequence modelling. A two-layer graph convolutional network with a learnable adjacency matrix captures inter-channel functional synchrony without montage-specific coordinates, applicable to bipolar (CHB-MIT) and referential (SIENA) montages. A bidirectional Mamba encoder followed by a bidirectional LSTM models long- and short-range temporal dynamics, and a two-layer MLP produces the final seizure probability. This serial hierarchy ensures frequency decomposition precedes spatial mixing, which precedes temporal integration. Under strict leave-one-patient-out cross-validation with five independent random seeds, CG-MambaNet achieves AUC-ROC of 0.8152+/-0.0176 on CHB-MIT (n=22) and 0.7104+/-0.0261 on SIENA (n=6), surpassing all published cross-patient methods without domain adaptation. An event-level evaluation framework merging consecutive alarmed windows via a persistence filter reduces false predictions to 0.32 alarms/hour on CHB-MIT, demonstrating clinically meaningful alarm burden.