The temporal stochastic block model

Abstract

Motivated by the need to understand infection spreading in inhomogeneous populations, we consider a \emph{temporal} version of the stochastic block model, where each edge is equipped with a random label, interpreted as a timestamp. We study the size and structure of reachable sets via increasing paths (that is, paths whose edge timestamps are strictly increasing) where the connections per node are of the order of $\log n$. We prove tight results for the first order asymptotics of the size of the reachable set from a typical vertex, and the proportions of reached vertices in each community. We also determine the typical length of the shortest and longest increasing paths with one or two fixed endpoints. In the regime where the reachable set $S$ of a typical vertex is of sublinear size, we describe the structure of the subgraph induced by $S$ by identifying an almost spanning tree (i.e., spanning all but $o(|S|)$ vertices), that is distributed as a weighted random recursive tree, whose height, profile and degree sequence are known. In particular, when $|S|\ll \sqrt{n}$, the subgraph induced by $S$ is itself distributed as this well-understood weighted random recursive tree.