Star-formation variability on the star-forming main sequence during the Epoch of Reionization

H. T. J. Bevins; S. Tacchella; C. Simmonds

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arXiv · 2606.10648

Star-formation variability on the star-forming main sequence during the Epoch of Reionization

H. T. J. Bevins·S. Tacchella·C. Simmonds

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Abstract

Star formation in galaxies is intrinsically stochastic, driven by physical processes operating across a wide range of scales. The scatter in the star-forming main sequence relation provides a window into this variability, but interpreting this scatter in terms of underlying physical mechanisms remains challenging. We present a study of star-formation variability during reionization (redshift z=3-8) using power spectral density (PSD) models to characterize fluctuations in star formation rates (SFRs). We use estimates of the intrinsic scatter in main sequence SFRs at six averaging timescales (10-100 Myr) from a catalogue of ~17000 galaxies presented in Simmonds et al. 2025 to constrain two PSD models, the Simple Harmonic Oscillator (SHO) and the Extended Regulator (ExtReg), with nested sampling and neural network emulators. We find that the regulator component of the ExtReg model is poorly constrained by the present data. However, both the dynamical component of the ExtReg model and the single-component SHO model favour characteristic variability timescales of ~10-30 Myr, comparable to expected galactic dynamical and stellar feedback timescales. At least in the SHO model, and most clearly at z~3-4, the inferred PSD power on ~10 Myr timescales decreases with stellar mass, indicating more bursty, rapidly varying star formation in lower-mass galaxies than in higher-mass systems. We find weak evidence for a transition from a two-component ExtReg-like PSD at lower redshift to a single-component SHO-like PSD at higher redshift in the lowest stellar-mass bin, log M*/M$\odot$ = 8-8.5, although the Bayes factors are small and selection effects at high redshift prevent strong conclusions. Overall, our results suggest that the observed 10-100 Myr scatter of the high-redshift star-forming main sequence is governed primarily by short-timescale variability, consistent with galactic dynamical timescales.

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H. T. J. Bevins, S. Tacchella, C. Simmonds. 2026-06-09. Star-formation variability on the star-forming main sequence during the Epoch of Reionization. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.10648

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