Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2606.10734

SPACR: Single-Pass Adaptive Training of Uncertainty-Aware Conformal Regressors

Abstract

Conformal Prediction (CP) provides robust uncertainty guarantees for predictive models, but is typically applied post hoc, which misaligns model training with the conformal goal of producing efficient (i.e., narrow) intervals. We propose SPACR (Single-Pass Adaptive Conformal Regressor), a novel method for directly training uncertainty-aware regressors within a differentiable loss. SPACR jointly optimizes accuracy, efficiency, and validity without batch-splitting or a predefined confidence level during training. As a result, a single SPACR model yields valid prediction intervals at multiple confidence levels during inference, avoiding the costly retraining required by methods like Directly Optimized Inductive Conformal Regression (DOICR). Experiments on diverse tabular and image datasets show that SPACR consistently gives tighter intervals and better coverage-efficiency trade-offs compared to standard CP and DOICR, while significantly reducing computational costs relative to retraining-dependent baselines.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

BibTeXRIS

Soundouss Messoudi, Sylvain Rousseau, Sébastien Destercke. 2026-09-02. SPACR: Single-Pass Adaptive Training of Uncertainty-Aware Conformal Regressors. https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.10734

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

Discover connections

Connections use source metadata and explicit phrase matches, not verified experimental comparisons.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Clustering Three-Way Data with Outliers

Matrix-variate distributions are a relatively recent addition to the model-based clustering literature, thereby making it possible to analyze data in matrix form with complex structure such as images and time series. Due to its recent appearance, there is limited literature on matrix-variate data, with even less on dealing with outliers in these models. An approach for clustering matrix-variate normal data with outliers is discussed. The approach, which uses the distribution of subset log-likelihoods, extends the OCLUST algorithm to matrix-variate normal data and uses an iterative approach to detect and trim outliers.

stat.ML

Robust conditional dimension reduction for dissimilarity data

Conditional dimension reduction (cDR) learns low-dimensional latent coordinates while accounting for observed covariates that represent known sources of variation in the data. Conditional Multidimensional Scaling (cMDS) is a cDR technique that works directly with dissimilarity data. Its standard squared-stress formulation, however, is sensitive to contaminated dissimilarity, since outliers can dominate the objective and distort the learned configuration. We proposed Robust Conditional Multidimensional Scaling (rcMDS) by replacing the squared-stress criterion with a Fair M-estimation objective. We developed a reweighted conditional SMACOF algorithm to optimize this objective. The proposed algorithm admits computationally tractable updates, and its stabilized objective values decrease monotonically and converge to a finite limit. Experiments on synthetic and real data show that the pro

stat.ML

The Role of Uncertainty in Assessing the Fairness of Machine Learning Models

Machine learning models are widely used in clinical applications, social media, law enforcement and critical infrastructure. Verifying whether their outputs are biased against disadvantaged groups or individuals is crucial to ensuring they are fair and allowing their use in such settings. A rigorous risk assessment of possible fairness violations requires quantifying the uncertainty associated with selecting and estimating such models. Yet, this is rarely done in the literature, which focuses on identifying a single model with a suitable trade-off between predictive accuracy and fairness. In this paper, we move beyond point estimation and discuss frequentist and Bayesian approaches to uncertainty quantification for fair machine learning, with practical examples and implications for simulated and real data.

stat.ML