Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2607.05312

Locally Private Online Quantile Regression: Estimation and Inference

Abstract

We study estimation and inference for online quantile regression under a one-report user-level $\eps$-locally differentially private ($\eps$-LDP) protocol. The main difficulty is that the standard quantile-regression estimating-equation contribution couples covariates with a residual comparison, so a server that receives only privatized reports cannot form the usual online update. We address this by developing a finite-alphabet channel in which each user computes the contribution locally, applies support-aware stochastic quantization and randomized response to one selected-block category, and sends one report. A public decoder corrects the randomized-response distortion and reconstructs a server-side estimating-equation input with the correct conditional mean. These decoded inputs are then used in projected Polyak-Ruppert averaging. For fixed finite channel designs, we establish local privacy, decoder unbiasedness, consistency, asymptotic normality, and Hessian-free self-normalized inference for prespecified scalar contrasts. Simulations and a New York City taxi-trip illustration show that the private trajectory approaches the nonprivate online reference as the privacy budget grows and outperforms direct Laplace and face-exponential geometric releases in the reported regimes.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Yi Liu, Qirui Hu. 2026-07-06. Locally Private Online Quantile Regression: Estimation and Inference. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.05312

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Conditional Distributional Treatment Effects: Doubly Robust Estimation and Testing

Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to capture such conditional distributional treatment effects, and develop a doubly robust estimator that is minimax optimal in the local asymptotic sense. Using this, we develop a test for the global homogeneity of conditional potential outcome distributions that accommodates discrepancies beyond the maximum mean discrepancy (MMD), has provably valid type 1 error, and is consistent against fixed alternatives---the first test, to our knowledge, with such guarantees in this setting. We then provide a test that aggregates evidence across a grid of kernel-bandwidth choices. Furthermore, we derive exact closed-form expressions for two natural discrepancies (including the MMD), and provide a computationally efficient, permutation-free algorithm for our test.

stat.ML

Flow Matching for Count Data

High-dimensional count data arise in applications such as single-cell RNA sequencing and neural spike trains, where mappings between distributions across successive batches or time points form critical components of data analysis. The recent success of diffusion- and flow-based deep generative models for images, video, and text motivates extending these ideas to count-valued settings, but many existing methods either treat each count as a categorical state or transform counts into a continuous space, neither of which is natural or efficient when the count range is large. We propose count-FM, a flow-matching framework for count data based on a continuous-time birth-death process with local unit jumps. Count-FM learns marginal transitions efficiently in count space through simulation-free training of conditional transition rates, allowing transport between arbitrary count-distributed source and target populations. In simulation, count-FM variants achieve strong sample quality while using substantially fewer parameters. We further apply count-FM to scRNA-seq and neural spike-train data for unconditional generation, transport, and conditional generation. Across these tasks, count-FM yields improved sample quality, greater modeling efficiency, and interpretable transport paths.

stat.ML

Chaos Is a LADDER: Domain Generalization Beyond Invariance via Reweighting

Domain generalization (DG) aims to learn from multiple source domains and generalize to unseen target domains. Most DG methods pursue invariance: they seek a causal representation whose prediction rule is invariant across domains. This principle is effective when the causal mechanism is stable, but becomes restrictive when the domain itself modulates how causal content maps to the response. In this case, directly feeding domain style into the predictor can create misleading shortcuts, since style does not by itself cause the response. Yet the apparent chaos of multiple styles can become a ladder: style can locate the unseen target domain among source domains and guide which domain-dependent prediction rules should be trusted. We propose \emph{Latent Adaptive Domain Disentanglement and Environment Reweighting} (LADDER), a fixed-model DG pipeline that learns causal/style representations, freezes the encoders, fits source-specific classifiers, and uses an unlabeled target-domain covariate set only at inference to compute weights over these fixed classifiers, with no target labels or model-state updates. We establish theoretical guarantees for source reweighting and validate LADDER on simulations, FMoW, and a location-grouped iWildCam protocol, with gains in overall and group-averaged accuracy.

stat.ML