The impact of nuclear uncertainties on the p-process nucleosynthesis in Supernovae

Abstract

The p-process is responsible for the production of the stable neutron-deficient nuclei heavier than iron observed in the solar system. However, important nuclear uncertainties still limit our understanding of this nucleosynthesis process. Among the most significant are the nuclear level densities (NLDs) and photon strength functions (PSFs) entering the calculation of photodisintegration rates under supernova conditions. We investigate both model (systematic) and parameter (statistical) uncertainties affecting NLDs and PSFs and quantify their impact on p-process nucleosynthesis in type-Ia and type-II supernovae. Correlated model uncertainties are estimated using several NLD and PSF models that reproduce available experimental observables. Uncorrelated parameter uncertainties are evaluated with a backward-forward Monte Carlo approach, in which parameter variations are constrained by measured reaction rates before being propagated to unknown cross sections of neutron-deficient nuclei. The resulting uncertainties are propagated through p-process calculations while preserving model correlations. To identify the reactions driving abundance uncertainties, we combine regularized linear-response modeling, stability analysis, and contribution and interaction decompositions. We find that photoneutron-emission uncertainties dominate the overall uncertainty budget. The leading source of uncertainty arises from local parameter variations still compatible with current experimental constraints, highlighting the lack of constraining nuclear data in the neutron-deficient region. For many p-nuclei, the dominant contribution originates either from the photoneutron emission of the p-nucleus itself or from a nearby $(γ,n)$ reaction along the same isotopic chain. While improved nuclear models remain important, many key reactions involve stable or near-stable nuclei and should be experimentally accessible.