Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2607.25949

Block-hierarchical covariance decompositions for finite-block additive functionals

Abstract

We study additive functionals of stationary Markov chains whose observables depend on a fixed finite block of consecutive states. Such block observables arise naturally in sliding-window statistics, pattern counts, and local dependence analysis. In the independent setting, additive functionals of overlapping finite blocks are known to have a covariance operator with integer spectrum \(0,1,\ldots,k\), and the eigenvalue-one component represents the information first detectable at block length \(k\). We study the corresponding problem when the underlying sequence is a stationary Markov chain. For a fixed block observable \(f(X_t,\ldots,X_{t+k-1})\), we introduce a Hilbert-space decomposition that separates information already contained in shorter consecutive blocks from the genuinely new block-\(k\) component, called the incremental component. We show that this component persists as an eigenvalue-one component under Markovian dependence: on this space the Green--Kubo covariance converges trivially and the covariance operator acts as the identity. More generally, the integers \(1,\ldots,k-1\) are shown to arise hierarchically as eigenvalues of the Green--Kubo operator. In the reversible case, the remaining covariance structure is described through a boundary-corrected one-coordinate marginal spectrum determined by the base transition operator. Reversible two-state chains and Gaussian AR(1) models illustrate the theory through concrete spectral formulas.

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Abbas Alhakim. 2026-07-28. Block-hierarchical covariance decompositions for finite-block additive functionals. https://arxiv.org/abs/2607.25949

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Generalized Edgeworth expansions for integer-valued additive functionals of uniformly elliptic Markov chains

We obtain asymptotic expansions for probabilities $\bbP(S_N=k)$ of partial sums of uniformly bounded integer-valued functionals $\DS S_N=\sum_{n=1}^N f_n(X_n)$ of uniformly elliptic inhomogeneous Markov chains. The expansions involve products of polynomials and trigonometric polynomials, and they hold without additional assumptions. As an application of the explicit formulas of the trigonometric polynomials, we relate existence of the standard Edgeworth expansions of order $r$ to the rate of equidistributions of $S_N$ modulo $m$ for small positive integers $m.$

math.PR

Permutations from Random Walk

Xavier and Yushi run a "random race" as follows. An atomless probability distribution $μ$ on the real line is chosen. The runners begin at zero. At time $i$ Xavier draws $\mathbf{X}_i$ from $μ$ and advances that distance, while Yushi advances by an independent drawing $\mathbf{Y}_i$. After $n$ such moves, what is the probability that Yushi led all the way? That the answer (namely, $4^{-n}\binom{2n}{n}$) is independent of $μ$ follows from a classical theorem of Darling, stating that for symmetric atomless increments, the distribution of each individual rank in the permutation obtained by ranking the partial sums is independent of the step law. We give a self-contained proof and extend the result to the permutations generated by partial sums of uniformly random signed permutations of any fixed, finite, generic set of reals. For atomless increments with mean zero and finite variance, without assuming symmetry, we show that random-walk permutations approach a random object that we call the "Wiener permuton," whose expected pattern densities equal the probabilities of the corresponding permutations generated by finite random walks with centered Laplace increments. Finally, we exhibit an infinite family of constructions whose limiting permutons interpolate between the Wiener permuton and the recursive separable permuton; each has the same intensity permuton, providing a single two-dimensional extension of the classical arcsine law for all of them.

math.PR

On the uniqueness of quasi-stationary distributions for population models with spatial structure

Subcritical population processes are attracted to extinction and do not have non-trivial stationary distributions, which prompts the study of quasi-stationary distributions (QSDs) instead. In contrast to what generally happens for stationary distributions, QSDs may not be unique, even under irreducibility conditions. The general conditions for uniqueness of QSDs are not always easy to check. For the branching process, besides the quasi-limiting distribution there are many other QSDs. In this paper, we investigate whether adding little extra information to the continuous-time branching process is enough to obtain uniqueness. We consider the branching process with genealogy and branching random walks, and show that they have a unique QSD.

math.PR