Search arXivSearch

arXiv · 2608.14930

A Neurofinance Framework for Subjective Temporal Perception, Risk, and Investment Behavior

Abstract

Neurofinance shows that financial valuation depends on evolving neural states, while temporal experience is itself state dependent. Yet intertemporal models typically treat time as exogenous and ask how delay affects valuation. This paper examines the converse question: can valuation-related neural dynamics generate subjective financial time? We develop a continuous-time model on a joint financial--neuro-evaluative state space in which subjective financial time is accumulated valuation along dynamically admissible histories. We characterise realised temporal-rate dispersion and show that, under matched financial dynamics, distinct neuro-evaluative trajectories can generate different subjective financial times. Financial equivalence therefore need not imply temporal equivalence. Valuation curvature further determines local path dependence. A proof-of-concept behavioural--fMRI analysis uses \(1{,}183\) observations, \(1{,}126\) valuation transitions, and \(798\) financially matched pairs. Using a medial-prefrontal valuation-state coordinate based on vmPFC and dmPFC responses, the strongest participant exhibits a positive association between neural-state separation and subsequent valuation divergence (\(ρ=0.253,\ p_{\mathrm{perm}}=0.001\)), robust to residual financial distance (\(ρ=0.251\)) and tighter matching (\(ρ=0.207\)). Participant effects are heterogeneous, although combined evidence gives \(p=0.0216\). The data support the neural state-separation premise rather than directly identifying subjective financial time. The framework establishes a theoretical and empirically grounded basis for endogenous subjective time in neurofinance. \keywords{Neurofinance $\cdot$ Subjective financial time $\cdot$ Neural valuation $\cdot$ Relative subjective value $\cdot$ Intertemporal choice $\cdot$ Temporal dispersion $\cdot$ Path dependence

Explore related subjects

Keep this discovery

Explore connections, maps & timelines

BibTeXRIS

Pascal Stiefenhofer. 2026-08-14. A Neurofinance Framework for Subjective Temporal Perception, Risk, and Investment Behavior. https://arxiv.org/abs/2608.14930

Cite the original work for its findings. Save a collection to share your selection of sources.

KEEP EXPLORING

Related papers

Access to Live AI Advice and Behavior Under Risk: An Incentivized Experiment

Generative AI has become an everyday advisor, and the systems people consult are live and interactive, not pre-scripted. We ask whether access to such a system changes behavior under risk. In an incentivized experiment (N = 158), participants made lottery choices with an optional decision aid presented as a conventional pre-written tool, a live one-shot AI, or a live interactive AI they could query, with information format held equivalent across conditions. Risk preferences are elicited via DOSE. We find no evidence that access to a live AI advisor changes risk aversion.

econ.GN

Bricks or Cash? Externalities of Housing Upgrading in High-density Cities

We estimate housing externalities in a high-density city, exploiting the staggered rollout of Singapore's nationwide Main Upgrading Programme for public housing. Controlling for nonrandom neighborhood exposure, we find that upgrading raises treated buildings' prices by 11.5% upon completion and neighboring buildings' resale prices by about 2% within 500 meters, decaying to zero beyond. A model with distance-decaying externalities shows that in dense settings spillovers justify the distortions of in-kind provision; this advantage diminishes and reverses at lower densities. Administrative data on over 2 million residents show that upgrading disproportionately retains older incumbents, suggesting age-specific amenities as an underexplored externality channel.

econ.GN

The Joneses Visit an Economics Lab

Existing literature offers persuasive evidence that individuals care about how their consumption compares to that of peers, and proposes a large variety of explanatory models. The present paper proposes a common framework for many of those models, and compares their ability to predict behavior in a laboratory experiment. We find evidence of Keeping up with the Joneses motivations but also find that conspicuous consumption is enhanced by Veblen motivations arising from peers' ability to observe one's own choice. Among the seven quasi-linear preference models we compare, our data are best explained by a model that contrasts envy and pride (upward vs downward comparisons) using a value function borrowed from Prospect Theory.

econ.GN