Tracking nonlinear solar-wind dynamics over three solar cycles using Wind observations

Abstract

The solar wind is a turbulent, weakly collisional plasma characterized by non-Gaussian fluctuations, long-range correlations, and multifractal dynamics. We investigate the long-term evolution of these properties using hourly proton density measurements obtained directly by the Wind spacecraft over 1995--2025. The use of a single-spacecraft dataset provides an independent test of previous results derived from the multi-spacecraft OMNI database. The three components of the nonextensive $q$-triplet are estimated within one-year sliding windows shifted monthly: $q_{stat}$ from the distribution of density increments, $q_{rel}$ from the decay of the autocorrelation function, and $q_{sens}$ from the multifractal spectrum. Their mean values, $q_{stat}=1.71\pm0.07$, $q_{rel}=4.62\pm0.52$, and $q_{sens}=-0.45\pm0.27$, confirm the persistent presence of heavy-tailed statistics, slow relaxation, and weakly chaotic multifractal dynamics. The parameters nevertheless exhibit distinct temporal variability and relationships with solar activity. The Fourier spectrum of $q_{stat}$ contains a dominant period of approximately $10.1$ years, while its correlation with the sunspot number is positive and moderate ($r=0.611$). Correlation and mutual-information analyses show that $q_{stat}$ is primarily associated with solar proxies, whereas $q_{sens}$ displays stronger relationships with geomagnetic indices and $q_{rel}$ exhibits weaker dependencies. An anomalous enhancement of $q_{stat}$ around 2004 coincides with a sequence of intense interplanetary disturbances, although possible effects related to Wind's orbital transition must also be considered. These findings demonstrate the robustness of the nonextensive description and show that the statistical and dynamical properties of solar wind proton density show evidence of modulation by solar activity.